Bookmakers made Anthony Joshua a massive favorite against Jake Paul when they square off in their contest on Friday 19th December 2025 at Kaseya Center, Miami, United States.
He is currently 2/25 (-1200) to win the contest outright, while you can get 6/1 (+600) on Jake Paul if you fancy the massive upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 87% chance of Joshua winning while giving Paul a 13% chance.
Joshua opened as the favorite at 1/10 (-1000).
Paul opened at 7/1 (+700) which has got wider by 0/1 (0).
The fight is scheduled for 8 rounds in the Heavyweight division, which means both fighters don't have to make any weight limit.
Paul vs Joshua Head To Head
Jake Paul steps into the ring with a record of 12 wins, 1 loss, and 0 draws, 7 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Anthony Joshua will make his way to the ring with a record of 28 wins, 4 losses and 0 draws, with 25 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Joshua has a massive power advantage over Paul, boasting a 89% knockout percentage compared to Paul's 58%.
Jake Paul is the younger man by 8 years, at 28 years old.
Joshua has a height advantage of 5 inches over Paul. This also extends to a 6-inch reach advantage.
Both Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua fight out of an orthodox stance.
Paul is the less experienced professional fighter, having had 19 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2020, 6 years and 3 months later than Joshua, whose first professional fight was in 2013. He has fought 97 fewer professional rounds, totaling 70 compared to Joshua's 167.
Anthony Joshua is currently ranked number 3 by the WBC, and 7 by the WBO in the Heavyweight division.
Paul vs Joshua betting form
Paul has won 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 3 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he defeated Julio Cesar Chavez Jr on June 28, 2025, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Honda Center, Anaheim, United States. He was a 1/7 (-710) favorite going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had defeated Mike Tyson on November 15, 2024, by unanimous decision in their 8 round contest at AT&T Stadium, Arlington. He was a 4/7 (-180) favorite going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Mike Perry on July 20, 2024, by technical knockout in the 6th round at Amalie Arena, Tampa. He was a 1/4 (-400) favorite going into the ring.
Before that, he had won against Ryan Bourland on March 2, 2024, by technical knockout in the 1st round at Coliseo Jose Miguel Agrelot, San Juan, Puerto Rico. He was a 1/25 (-2500) favorite going into the ring.
He had beaten Andre August on December 15, 2023, by knockout in the 1st round at Caribe Royale Resort, Orlando, United States. He was a 9/100 (-1100) favorite going into the ring.
Joshua has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 3 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he lost to Daniel Dubois on September 21, 2024, by knockout in the 5th round in their IBF World Heavyweight championship fight at Wembley Stadium, London, United Kingdom. He was a 7/4 (+180) underdog going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had defeated Francis Ngannou on March 8, 2024, by knockout in the 2nd round at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 2/5 (-250) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had won against Otto Wallin on December 23, 2023, by technical knockout in the 5th round at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh. He was a 2/7 (-340) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had defeated Robert Helenius on August 12, 2023, by knockout in the 7th round at O2 Arena, Greenwich, United Kingdom. He was a 1/16 (-1700) favorite going into the contest.
He had beaten Jermaine Franklin on April 1, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at o2 Arena, London. He was a 1/14 (-1400) favorite going into the contest.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Jake Paul has been fighting more than Anthony Joshua.
Jake Paul last fought 5 months and 21 days ago, while Anthony Joshua's last outing was 1 year, 2 months and 28 days ago.
Paul's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years and 4 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 4 months and 27 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 26 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 5.2 rounds on average.
Joshua's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 8 months and 18 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 6 months and 17 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 31 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 6.2 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Paul vs Joshua Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 11:00 PM EST / 8:00 PM PST at Kaseya Center, Miami, United States, which is around 4:00 AM GMT in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Paul vs Joshua for In-Play Betting?
The Netflix show is expected to begin at 8:00 PM EST / 5:00 PM PST. The Netflix UK broadcast of the card is expected to start at 1:00 AM (GTM).
