Bookmakers made Ryan Garcia a favorite against Mario Barrios when they meet in their bout on Saturday 21st February 2026 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.
He is currently 1/2 (-200) to win the bout outright, while you can get 7/4 (+180) on Mario Barrios if you fancy the small upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 65% chance of Garcia winning while giving Barrios a 35% chance.
Garcia opened as the favorite at 1/2 (-200).
Barrios opened at 7/4 (+180).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Welterweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 147 pounds (10.29 stones or 66.82 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the WBC welterweight championship of the world.
Garcia vs Barrios Head To Head
Ryan Garcia steps into the ring with a record of 24 wins, 2 losses, and 0 draws, 20 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Mario Barrios will make his way to the ring with a record of 29 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, with 18 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Garcia has a large advantage in power over Barrios, boasting a 83% knockout percentage compared to Barrios' 62%.
Ryan Garcia is the younger man by 3 years, at 27 years old.
Barrios has a 1-inch reach advantage.
Both Ryan Garcia and Mario Barrios fight out of an orthodox stance.
Garcia is the less experienced professional fighter, having had 7 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2016, 2 years and 6 months later than Barrios, whose first professional fight was in 2013. He has fought 86 fewer professional rounds, totaling 124 compared to Barrios' 210.
Ryan Garcia goes into the fight ranked number 6 by the WBA, and 4 by the WBC at welterweight.
Mario Barrios is currently ranked number 10 by The Ring in the 147lb division.
Garcia vs Barrios betting form
Ryan Garcia has stopped 2 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he lost to Rolando ‘Rolly’ Romero on May 2, 2025, by unanimous decision in their WBA World Welterweight championship fight at Times Square, New York, United States. He was a 1/10 (-1000) favorite going into the contest.
Prior to that, his contest against Devin Haney on April 20, 2024 ended in a no contest at Barclays Center, New York. He was a 13/2 (+650) underdog going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Oscar Duarte on December 2, 2023, by knockout in the 8th round at Toyota Center, Houston. He was a 2/9 (-450) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had been beaten by Gervonta ‘Tank’ Davis on April 22, 2023, by knockout in the 7th round at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 19/10 (+190) underdog going into the contest.
He had won against Javier Fortuna on July 16, 2022, by knockout in the 6th round at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. He was a 7/100 (-1400) favorite going into the contest.
Barrios has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he drew Manny Pacquiao on July 19, 2025, by majority draw in their 12 round contest in their WBC World Welterweight championship fight at MGM Grand, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 4/5 (-130) favorite going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had drawn with Abel Ramos on November 15, 2024, by split draw in their 12 round contest in their WBC World Welterweight championship fight at AT&T Stadium, Arlington. He was a 1/14 (-1400) favorite going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Fabian Andres Maidana on May 4, 2024, by unanimous decision in their WBC Interim World Welterweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 2/25 (-1200) favorite going into the fight.
Before that, he had defeated Yordenis Ugas on September 30, 2023, by unanimous decision in their WBC Interim World Welterweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 7/4 (+180) underdog going into the fight.
He had won against Jovanie Santiago on February 11, 2023, by technical knockout in the 8th round at Alamodome, San Antonio. He was a 1/7 (-710) favorite going into the fight.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Mario Barrios has been fighting more than Ryan Garcia.
Ryan Garcia last fought 9 months and 19 days ago, while Mario Barrios' last outing was 7 months and 2 days ago.
Garcia's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 7 months and 5 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 8 months and 20 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 45 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 9 rounds on average.
Barrios' last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years and 10 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 7 months and 9 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 56 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 11.2 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Garcia vs Barrios Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 11:00 PM EST / 8:00 PM PST at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States, which is around 4:00 AM GMT in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Garcia vs Barrios for In-Play Betting?
Garcia vs Barrios will be broadcast on DAZN PPV in both the United States and the UK.
