Bookmakers made Tomoya Tsuboi a massive favorite against Pedro Guevara when they meet in their bout on Saturday 11th April 2026 at Kokugikan, Tokyo, Japan.
He is currently 1/14 (-1400) to win the bout outright, while you can get 13/2 (+650) on Pedro Guevara if you fancy the massive upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 88% chance of Tsuboi winning while giving Guevara a 12% chance.
Tsuboi opened as the favorite at 1/14 (-1400).
Guevara opened at 13/2 (+650).
The fight is scheduled for 10 rounds in the Super Flyweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 115 pounds (8.05 stones or 52.27 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
Tsuboi vs Guevara Head To Head
Tomoya Tsuboi steps into the ring with an undefeated record of 3 wins, zero losses, and 0 draws, 2 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Pedro Guevara will make his way to the ring with a record of 43 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, with 22 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Tsuboi has an advantage in power over Guevara, with a 67% knockout percentage compared to Guevara's 51%.
Tomoya Tsuboi is the younger man by 7 years, at 29 years old.
Guevara has a height advantage of 1 inch over Tsuboi.
Both Tomoya Tsuboi and Pedro Guevara fight out of an orthodox stance.
Tsuboi is the less experienced professional fighter, having had 47 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2025, 16 years and 11 months later than Guevara, whose first professional fight was in 2008. He has fought 332 fewer professional rounds, totaling 20 compared to Guevara's 352.
Tomoya Tsuboi goes into the fight ranked number 4 by the WBA, 1 by the WBC, 5 by the WBO, 11 by the IBF, and 5 by The Ring at super flyweight.
Pedro Guevara is currently ranked number 9 by the WBC in the 115lb division.
Tsuboi vs Guevara betting form
Pedro Guevara has beaten 1 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he drew Adrian Curiel on September 6, 2025, by split draw in their 10 round contest at Los Mochis, Sinaloa, Mexico.
Prior to that, he had been beaten by Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez on November 9, 2024, by knockout in the 3rd round in their WBC World Super Flyweight championship fight at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, United States. He was a 15/2 (+750) underdog going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Andrew Moloney on May 12, 2024, by split decision in their WBC Interim World Super Flyweight championship fight at RAC Arena, Perth, Australia. He was a 2/1 (+200) underdog going into the fight.
Before that, he had lost to Carlos Cuadras on November 17, 2023, by split decision in their WBC Interim World Super Flyweight championship fight at Humo Arena, Tashkent, Uzbekistan. He was a 3/5 (-170) favorite going into the fight.
He had been beaten by Kenshiro Teraji on October 22, 2017, by majority decision in their WBC World Light Flyweight championship fight at Kokugikan, Tokyo, Japan.
Who's been more active?
Tsuboi's last 2 fights have come over a period of 10 months and 3 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 5 months and 2 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 18 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 9 rounds on average.
Guevara's last 5 fights have come over a period of 8 years, 5 months and 20 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 1 year, 8 months and 10 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 49 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 9.8 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Tsuboi vs Guevara Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 11:00 AM UTC at Kokugikan, Tokyo, Japan, which is 7:00 AM EST or 4:00 AM PST on the West Coast of America, or 12:00 PM BST in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Tsuboi vs Guevara for In-Play Betting?
Tsuboi vs Guevara will be broadcast on Amazon Prime Video in both the United States and the UK.
