Bookmakers made Naoya Inoue a strong favorite against Junto Nakatani when they meet in their bout on Saturday 2nd May 2026 at Tokyo Dome, Tokyo, Japan.
He is currently 3/10 (-330) to win the bout outright, while you can get 5/2 (+250) on Junto Nakatani if you fancy the upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 73% chance of Inoue winning while giving Nakatani a 27% chance.
Inoue opened as the favorite at 3/10 (-330).
Nakatani opened at 5/2 (+250).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Bantamweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 122 pounds (8.54 stones or 55.45 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the undisputed super bantamweight championship of the world, with the The Ring, WBC, IBF, and WBO belts on the line.
Inoue vs Nakatani Head To Head
Naoya Inoue steps into the ring with an undefeated record of 32 wins, zero losses, and 0 draws, 27 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Junto Nakatani will make his way to the ring with an unblemished record of 32 wins and 0 draws, with 24 of those by knockout.
The stats suggest Inoue has a slight advantage in power over Nakatani, with a 84% knockout percentage compared to Nakatani's 75%.
Naoya Inoue is the older man by 4 years, at 32 years old.
Nakatani has a height advantage of 2 inches over Inoue. Despite this, he has a 1-inch reach advantage.
Naoya Inoue fights out of the orthodox stance, while Junto Nakatani is a southpaw.
Inoue is the more experienced professional fighter, having had the same amount of fights, and made his debut in 2012, 2 years and 6 months earlier than Nakatani, whose first professional fight was in 2015. He has fought 41 more professional rounds, totaling 205 compared to Nakatani's 164.
Naoya Inoue goes into the fight ranked number 1 by The Ring at super bantamweight.
Junto Nakatani is currently ranked number 1 by the WBA, 1 by the WBC, 1 by the WBO, 3 by the IBF, and 5 by The Ring in the 122lb division.
Inoue vs Nakatani betting form
Inoue remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 3 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he won against Alan Picasso on December 27, 2025, by unanimous decision in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight, WBO World Junior Featherweight and WBA Super World Super Bantamweight championship fight at Mohammed Abdo Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 1/40 (-3300) favorite going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had won against Murodjon Akhmadaliev on September 14, 2025, by unanimous decision in their The Ring Junior Featherweight, WBO World Junior Featherweight, IBF World Junior Featherweight and WBC World Super Bantamweight championship fight at IG Arena, Nagoya, Japan. He was a 1/10 (-1000) favorite going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Ramon Cardenas on May 4, 2025, by technical knockout in the 8th round in their WBO World Junior Featherweight, IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBA Super World Super Bantamweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 1/40 (-3300) favorite going into the ring.
Before that, he had defeated Ye Joon Kim on January 24, 2025, by knockout in the 4th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight, WBO World Junior Featherweight and WBA Super World Super Bantamweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Tokyo, Japan. He was a 1/100 (-10000) favorite going into the ring.
He had won against TJ Doheny on September 3, 2024, by technical knockout in the 7th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku. He was a 1/100 (-10000) favorite going into the ring.
Nakatani remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 4 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he defeated Sebastian Hernandez on December 27, 2025, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Mohammed Abdo Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 1/25 (-2500) favorite going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had defeated Ryosuke Nishida on June 8, 2025, by technical knockout in the 6th round in their IBF World Bantamweight, WBC World Bantamweight and The Ring Bantamweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Tokyo, Japan. He was a 1/10 (-1000) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had beaten David Cuellar Contreras on February 24, 2025, by knockout in the 3rd round in their WBC World Bantamweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku. He was a 2/13 (-670) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had won against Tasana Salapat on October 14, 2024, by technical knockout in the 6th round in their WBC World Bantamweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Tokyo.
He had beaten Vincent Astrolabio on July 20, 2024, by knockout in the 1st round in their WBC World Bantamweight championship fight at Kokugikan, Tokyo. He was a 1/25 (-3300) favorite going into the contest.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Naoya Inoue has been fighting more than Junto Nakatani.
Naoya Inoue last fought 4 months and 5 days ago, while Junto Nakatani's last outing was 4 months and 5 days ago.
Inoue's last 5 fights have come over a period of 1 year, 7 months and 29 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 4 months and 1 day. In those fights, he fought a total of 43 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 8.6 rounds on average.
Nakatani's last 5 fights have come over a period of 1 year, 9 months and 12 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 4 months and 10 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 28 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 5.6 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Inoue vs Nakatani Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 11:00 AM UTC at Tokyo Dome, Tokyo, Japan, which is 7:00 AM EST or 4:00 AM PST on the West Coast of America, or 12:00 PM BST in the UK.
