Bookmakers made Fabio Wardley a big favorite against Deontay Wilder in a potential future fight between the pair, when they last released odds on August 29, 2026.
He is currently 1/7 (-710) to win the fight outright, while you can get 3/1 (+300) on Deontay Wilder if you fancy the big upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 78% chance of Wardley winning while giving Wilder a 22% chance.
Wardley opened as the favorite at 1/7 (-710).
Wilder opened at 33/10 (+330) which has got wider by 7/-10 (+140).
The fight would be scheduled for 12 rounds in the Heavyweight division, which means both fighters don't have to make any weight limit.
Wardley vs Wilder Head To Head
Fabio Wardley would step into the ring with a record of 20 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw, 19 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Deontay Wilder would make his way to the ring with a record of 45 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, with 43 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Wilder would have a slight advantage in power over Wardley, with a 96% knockout percentage compared to Wardley's 95%.
Fabio Wardley is the younger man by 9 years, at 31 years old.
Wilder has a height advantage of 2 inches over Wardley. This also extends to a 5-inch reach advantage.
Both Fabio Wardley and Deontay Wilder fight out of an orthodox stance.
Wardley is currently the less experienced professional fighter, having had 28 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2017, 8 years and 4 months later than Wilder, whose first professional fight was in 2008. He has fought 104 fewer professional rounds, totaling 94 compared to Wilder's 198.
Fabio Wardley goes into the fight ranked number 7 by the WBC, 5 by the WBO, 8 by the IBF, and 4 by The Ring at heavyweight.
Deontay Wilder is currently ranked number 8 by the WBC, 8 by the WBO, and 9 by the IBF in the Heavyweight division.
Wardley vs Wilder betting form
Fabio Wardley has stopped 3 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he lost to Daniel Dubois on May 9, 2026, by technical knockout in the 11th round in their WBO World Heavyweight championship fight at Co-op Live Arena, Manchester, United Kingdom. He was a 9/5 (+180) underdog going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had defeated Joseph Parker on October 25, 2025, by technical knockout in the 11th round in their WBO Interim World Heavyweight championship fight at The O2 Arena, London. He was a 14/5 (+280) underdog going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Justis Huni on June 7, 2025, by knockout in the 10th round at Portman Road, Ipswich.
Before that, he had won against Frazer Clarke on October 12, 2024, by technical knockout in the 1st round in their BBBOC British Heavyweight and CBC Commonwealth Heavyweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 4/5 (-130) favorite going into the fight.
He had drawn with Frazer Clarke on March 31, 2024 in their 12 round contest in their BBBOC British Heavyweight championship fight at o2 Arena, London, United Kingdom. He was a 2/5 (-240) favorite going into the fight.
Wilder has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 2 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he beat Derek Chisora on April 4, 2026, by split decision in their 12 round contest at O2 Arena, Greenwich, United Kingdom. He was a 31/20 (+150) underdog going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had beaten Tyrrell Anthony Herndon on June 27, 2025, by technical knockout in the 7th round at Charles Koch Arena, Wichita, United States. He was a 9/100 (-1100) favorite going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had been beaten by Zhilei Zhang on June 1, 2024, by technical knockout in the 5th round at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 6/5 (+120) underdog going into the ring.
Before that, he had lost to Joseph Parker on December 23, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh. He was a 1/6 (-590) favorite going into the ring.
He had defeated Robert Helenius on October 15, 2022, by knockout in the 1st round in their WBC World Heavyweight final eliminator fight at Barclays Center, New York, United States. He was a 13/100 (-770) favorite going into the ring.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Fabio Wardley has been fighting more than Deontay Wilder.
Fabio Wardley last fought 3 months and 21 days ago, while Deontay Wilder's last outing was 4 months and 26 days ago.
Wardley's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 8 months and 16 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 6 months and 17 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 45 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 9 rounds on average.
Wilder's last 5 fights have come over a period of 4 years, 2 months and 2 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 10 months. In those fights, he fought a total of 37 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 7.4 rounds on average.
