Bookmakers made Ryosuke Nishida a strong favorite against Sam Goodman when they meet in their bout on Sunday 27th September 2026 at Toyota Arena Tokyo, Koto-Ku, Japan.
He is currently 9/25 (-280) to win the bout outright, while you can get 2/1 (+200) on Sam Goodman if you fancy the upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 69% chance of Nishida winning while giving Goodman a 31% chance.
Nishida opened as the favorite at 9/25 (-280).
Goodman opened at 2/1 (+200).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Bantamweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 122 pounds (8.54 stones or 55.45 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the vacant IBF super bantamweight championship of the world.
Nishida vs Goodman Head To Head
Ryosuke Nishida steps into the ring with a record of 11 wins, 1 loss, and 0 draws, 2 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Sam Goodman will make his way to the ring with a record of 22 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws, with 8 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Goodman has an advantage in power over Nishida, with a 36% knockout percentage compared to Nishida's 18%.
Ryosuke Nishida is the older man by 2 years, at 29 years old.
Nishida has a 1-inch reach advantage.
Ryosuke Nishida fights out of the southpaw stance, while Sam Goodman is an orthodox fighter.
Nishida is the less experienced professional fighter, having had 11 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2019, 1 year and 8 months later than Goodman, whose first professional fight was in 2018. He has fought 76 fewer professional rounds, totaling 105 compared to Goodman's 181.
Ryosuke Nishida goes into the fight ranked number 1 by the IBF, and 6 by The Ring at super bantamweight.
Sam Goodman is currently ranked number 3 by the WBO, 2 by the IBF, and 2 by The Ring in the 122lb division.
Nishida vs Goodman betting form
Nishida has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance 3 times.
In his last fight, he won against Bryan Mercado Vazquez on February 15, 2026, by technical decision in their IBF World Junior Featherweight eliminator fight at Sumiyoshi SportsCenter, Osaka, Japan. He was a 1/3 (-290) favorite going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had been beaten by Junto Nakatani on June 8, 2025, by retirement in the 6th round in their IBF World Bantamweight, WBC World Bantamweight and The Ring Bantamweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Tokyo. He was a 7/1 (+700) underdog going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had won against Anuchai Donsua on December 15, 2024, by knockout in the 7th round in their IBF World Bantamweight championship fight at Sumiyoshi SportsCenter, Osaka. He was a 1/16 (-1700) favorite going into the ring.
Before that, he had beaten Emmanuel Rodriguez on May 4, 2024, by unanimous decision in their IBF World Bantamweight championship fight at EDION Arena Osaka, Osaka. He was a 3/2 (+150) underdog going into the ring.
He had defeated Christian Medina on August 11, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at EDION Arena Osaka, Osaka. He was a 1/6 (-590) favorite going into the ring.
Sam Goodman has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he won against Rodrigo Fabian Ruiz on April 5, 2026, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at WIN Entertainment Centre, Wollongong, Australia. He was a 1/10 (-1000) favorite going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had won against Tyler Blizzard on December 17, 2025, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at ICC Exhibition Centre, Sydney. He was a 3/25 (-830) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had lost to Nick Ball on August 16, 2025, by unanimous decision in their WBA World Featherweight championship fight at Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 7/2 (+350) underdog going into the contest.
Before that, he had defeated Cesar Vaca Espinoza on May 14, 2025, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Hordern Pavilion, Sydney, Australia.
He had beaten Thattana Luangphon on July 10, 2024, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at WIN Entertainment Centre, Wollongong. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the contest.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Sam Goodman has been fighting more than Ryosuke Nishida.
Ryosuke Nishida last fought 5 months and 21 days ago, while Sam Goodman's last outing was 4 months ago.
Nishida's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 1 month and 16 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 7 months and 16 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 44 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 8.8 rounds on average.
Goodman's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 2 months and 17 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 5 months and 10 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 56 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 11.2 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Nishida vs Goodman Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 10:00 PM UTC at Toyota Arena Tokyo, Koto-Ku, Japan, which is 6:00 PM EST or 3:00 PM PST on the West Coast of America, or 11:00 PM BST in the UK.
