Bookmakers made Masamichi Yabuki a big favorite against Miel Fajardo when they come head-to-head in their clash on Thursday 26th November 2026 at Ebara Wave Arena Ota, Ota-Ku, Japan.
He is currently 1/5 (-500) to win the clash outright, while you can get 10/3 (+330) on Miel Fajardo if you fancy the big upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 79% chance of Yabuki winning while giving Fajardo a 21% chance.
Yabuki opened as the favorite at 1/5 (-500).
Fajardo opened at 10/3 (+330).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Flyweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 112 pounds (7.84 stones or 50.91 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the IBF flyweight championship of the world.
Yabuki vs Fajardo Head To Head
Masamichi Yabuki steps into the ring with a record of 20 wins, 4 losses, and 0 draws, 18 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Miel Fajardo will make his way to the ring with a record of 14 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, with 12 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Yabuki has a slight advantage in power over Fajardo, with a 90% knockout percentage compared to Fajardo's 86%.
Masamichi Yabuki is the older man by 8 years, at 34 years old.
Yabuki has a height advantage of 1 inch over Fajardo. Despite this, both fighters have equal reach.
Both Masamichi Yabuki and Miel Fajardo fight out of an orthodox stance.
Yabuki is the more experienced professional fighter, having had 5 more fights, and made his debut in 2016, 7 months earlier than Fajardo, whose first professional fight was in 2016. He has fought 42 more professional rounds, totaling 128 compared to Fajardo's 86.
Masamichi Yabuki goes into the fight ranked number 1 by The Ring at flyweight.
Miel Fajardo is currently ranked number 8 by the WBC, 1 by the IBF, and 4 by The Ring in the 112lb division.
Yabuki vs Fajardo betting form
Yabuki has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 3 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he beat Rene Calixto on June 6, 2026, by unanimous decision in their IBF World Flyweight championship fight at Aichi Sky Expo, Tokoname, Japan. He was a 1/8 (-770) favorite going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had beaten Felix Alvarado on December 27, 2025, by knockout in the 12th round in their IBF World Flyweight championship fight at Aichi Sky Expo, Tokoname. He was a 1/4 (-400) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had won against Angel Ayala Lardizabal on March 29, 2025, by technical knockout in the 12th round in their IBF World Flyweight championship fight at Aichi Sky Expo, Nagoya. He was a 2/3 (-150) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had beaten Sivenathi Nontshinga on October 12, 2024, by technical knockout in the 9th round in their IBF World Junior Flyweight championship fight at Aichi Sky Expo, Tokoname. He was a 5/4 (+130) underdog going into the contest.
He had been beaten by Kenshiro Teraji on March 19, 2022, by technical knockout in the 3rd round in their WBC World Light Flyweight championship fight at City Gym, Kyoto.
Who's been more active?
Yabuki's last 5 fights have come over a period of 4 years, 8 months and 7 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 11 months and 8 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 48 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 9.6 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Yabuki vs Fajardo Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 11:00 AM UTC at Ebara Wave Arena Ota, Ota-Ku, Japan, which is 6:00 AM EST or 3:00 AM PST on the West Coast of America, or 11:00 AM GMT in the UK.
