Bookmakers made Canelo Alvarez a slight favorite against David Benavidez in a potential future bout between the pair, when they last released odds on January 1, 1970.
He is currently 4/5 (-130) to win the bout outright, while you can get 19/20 (-110) on David Benavidez if you fancy the slight upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 52% chance of Canelo winning while giving Benavidez a 48% chance.
Canelo opened as the favorite at 4/5 (-130).
Benavidez opened at 19/20 (-110).
The fight would be scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Middleweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 168 pounds (11.76 stones or 76.36 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
Canelo vs Benavidez Head To Head
Canelo Alvarez would step into the ring with a record of 63 wins, 2 losses, and 2 draws, 39 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
David Benavidez would make his way to the ring with an unblemished record of 30 wins and 0 draws, with 24 of those by knockout.
The stats suggest Benavidez would have an advantage in power over Canelo, with a 80% knockout percentage compared to Canelo's 62%.
Canelo Alvarez is the older man by 6 years, at 34 years old.
Benavidez has a height advantage of 4 inches over Canelo. This also extends to a 6-inch reach advantage.
Both Canelo Alvarez and David Benavidez fight out of an orthodox stance.
Canelo is currently the more experienced professional fighter, having had 37 more fights, and made his debut in 2005, 7 years and 9 months earlier than Benavidez, whose first professional fight was in 2013. He has fought 360 more professional rounds, totaling 520 compared to Benavidez's 160.
Canelo vs Benavidez betting form
Canelo Alvarez has beaten 5 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he won against William Scull on May 3, 2025, by unanimous decision in their IBF World Super Middleweight, WBC World Super Middleweight, WBO World Super Middleweight and WBA Super World Super Middleweight championship fight at The Venue, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 1/25 (-2500) favorite going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had won against Edgar Berlanga on September 14, 2024, by unanimous decision in their WBO World Super Middleweight, WBC World Super Middleweight, WBA Super World Super Middleweight and The Ring Super Middleweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 1/16 (-1700) favorite going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Jaime Munguia on May 4, 2024, by unanimous decision in their WBC World Super Middleweight, WBA Super World Super Middleweight, IBF World Super Middleweight and WBO World Super Middleweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 1/6 (-590) favorite going into the ring.
Before that, he had defeated Jermell Charlo on September 30, 2023, by unanimous decision in their IBF World Super Middleweight, WBA Super World Super Middleweight, WBC World Super Middleweight and WBO World Super Middleweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 1/4 (-400) favorite going into the ring.
He had won against John Ryder on May 6, 2023, by unanimous decision in their IBF World Super Middleweight, WBA Super World Super Middleweight, WBC World Super Middleweight and WBO World Super Middleweight championship fight at Estadio Akron, Zapopan, Mexico. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the ring.
Benavidez remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 2 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he defeated David Morrell on February 1, 2025, by unanimous decision in their WBA World Light Heavyweight and WBC Interim World Light heavyweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 2/5 (-250) favorite going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had defeated Oleksandr Gvozdyk on June 15, 2024, by unanimous decision in their WBC Interim World Light heavyweight championship fight at MGM Grand, Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 4/25 (-630) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Demetrius Andrade on November 25, 2023, by technical knockout in the 6th round in their WBC Interim World Super Middleweight championship fight at Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 1/4 (-400) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had won against Caleb Plant on March 25, 2023, by unanimous decision in their WBC World Super Middleweight championship fight at MGM Grand, Las Vegas. He was a 29/100 (-380) favorite going into the contest.
He had beaten David Lemieux on May 21, 2022, by technical knockout in the 3rd round in their WBC Interim World Super Middleweight championship fight at Gila River Arena, Glendale. He was a 3/100 (-3300) favorite going into the contest.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Canelo Alvarez has been fighting more than David Benavidez.
Canelo Alvarez last fought 2 months and 18 days ago, while David Benavidez's last outing was 5 months and 20 days ago.
Canelo's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 2 months and 15 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 5 months and 10 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 60 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 12 rounds on average.
Benavidez's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years and 2 months, meaning he has been fighting on average every 7 months and 19 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 45 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 9 rounds on average.
