Bookmakers made Rafael Espinoza a massive favorite against Arnold Khegai when they meet in their bout on Saturday 15th November 2025 at Arena Coliseo, San Luis Potosi, Mexico.
He is currently 1/20 (-2000) to win the bout outright, while you can get 9/1 (+900) on Arnold Khegai if you fancy the massive upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 91% chance of Espinoza winning while giving Khegai a 9% chance.
Espinoza opened as the favorite at 1/20 (-2000).
Khegai opened at 9/1 (+900).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Featherweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 126 pounds (8.82 stones or 57.27 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the WBO featherweight championship of the world.
Espinoza vs Khegai Head To Head
Rafael Espinoza steps into the ring with an undefeated record of 27 wins, zero losses, and 0 draws, 23 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Arnold Khegai will make his way to the ring with a record of 23 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, with 14 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Espinoza has a large advantage in power over Khegai, boasting a 85% knockout percentage compared to Khegai's 61%.
Rafael Espinoza is the younger man by 2 years, at 31 years old.
Espinoza has a height advantage of 8 inches over Khegai. This also extends to a 8-inch reach advantage.
Both Rafael Espinoza and Arnold Khegai fight out of an orthodox stance.
Espinoza is arguably the more experienced fighter, having had 1 more fights, and made his debut in 2013, 2 years and 8 months earlier than Khegai, whose first professional fight was in 2015. He has fought 54 fewer professional rounds, totaling 104 compared to Khegai's 158.
Rafael Espinoza goes into the fight ranked number 1 by The Ring at featherweight.
Arnold Khegai is currently ranked number 9 by the WBO in the 126lb division.
Espinoza vs Khegai betting form
Espinoza remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 4 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he beat Edward Vazquez on May 4, 2025, by technical knockout in the 7th round in their WBO World Featherweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 1/10 (-1000) favorite going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had beaten Robeisy Ramirez on December 7, 2024, by technical knockout in the 6th round in their WBO World Featherweight championship fight at Footprint Center, Phoenix. He was a 1/1 (+100) underdog going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had won against Sergio Chirino Sanchez on June 21, 2024, by technical knockout in the 4th round in their WBO World Featherweight championship fight at Fontainebleau Las Vegas, Las Vegas. He was a 1/8 (-770) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had beaten Robeisy Ramirez on December 9, 2023, by majority decision in their WBO World Featherweight championship fight at Charles F. Dodge City Center, Pembroke Pines. He was a 8/1 (+790) underdog going into the contest.
He had defeated Ally Mwerangi on July 15, 2023, by knockout in the 2nd round at Restaurante Arroyo, Mexico City, Mexico.
Khegai has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 3 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he lost to Joet Gonzalez on March 8, 2025, by split decision in their 10 round contest at Thunder Studios, Long Beach, United States. He was a 4/7 (-180) favorite going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had won against Belmar Preciado on August 10, 2024, by technical knockout in the 9th round at Tingley Coliseum, Albuquerque. He was a 1/30 (-3000) favorite going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Jon Martinez on January 27, 2024, by technical knockout in the 3rd round at Teatro Cupula Arenas, Barcelona, Spain.
Before that, he had beaten Freddy Lainez on July 22, 2023, by technical knockout in the 4th round at Dubai Studio City, Dubai, United Arab Emirates.
He had won against Eduardo Baez on December 10, 2022, by split decision in their 10 round contest at CHI Health Center, Omaha, United States. He was a 1/1 (+100) underdog going into the fight.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Rafael Espinoza has been fighting more than Arnold Khegai.
Rafael Espinoza last fought 6 months and 11 days ago, while Arnold Khegai's last outing was 8 months and 7 days ago.
Espinoza's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years and 4 months, which means he has been fighting approximately every 5 months and 19 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 31 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 6.2 rounds on average.
Khegai's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 11 months and 5 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 7 months and 2 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 36 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 7.2 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Espinoza vs Khegai Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 4:00 AM UTC at Arena Coliseo, San Luis Potosi, Mexico, which is 11:00 PM EST or 8:00 PM PST on the West Coast of America, or 4:00 AM GMT in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Espinoza vs Khegai for In-Play Betting?
The fight will be broadcast in the United States by ESPN Deportes.
