Bookmakers made Kevin Lerena a strong favorite against Ryad Merhy when they face off in their fight on Saturday 30th May 2026 at RTL Spiroudome, Charleroi, Belgium.
He is currently 1/3 (-300) to win the fight outright, while you can get 9/4 (+230) on Ryad Merhy if you fancy the upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 71% chance of Lerena winning while giving Merhy a 29% chance.
Lerena opened as the favorite at 1/3 (-300).
Merhy opened at 9/4 (+230).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Heavyweight division, which means both fighters don't have to make any weight limit.
Lerena vs Merhy II Head To Head
Kevin Lerena steps into the ring with a record of 31 wins, 4 losses, and 0 draws, 15 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Ryad Merhy will make his way to the ring with a record of 35 wins, 3 losses and 0 draws, with 29 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Merhy has a massive power advantage over Lerena, boasting a 83% knockout percentage compared to Lerena's 48%.
Kevin Lerena is the same age as Ryad Merhy, at 33 years old.
Lerena has a height advantage of 2 inches over Merhy. This also extends to a 3-inch reach advantage.
Kevin Lerena fights out of the southpaw stance, while Ryad Merhy is an orthodox fighter.
Lerena is arguably the more experienced fighter, having had 3 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2011, 1 year and 6 months earlier than Merhy, whose first professional fight was in 2013. He has fought 48 more professional rounds, totaling 242 compared to Merhy's 194.
Lerena vs Merhy II betting form
Lerena has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he lost to Lawrence Okolie on July 19, 2025, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Wembley Stadium, London, United Kingdom. He was a 2/1 (+200) underdog going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had defeated Serhiy Radchenko on May 1, 2025, by technical knockout in the 3rd round at Sunbet Arena, Pretoria, South Africa.
Going into that contest, he had been beaten by Justis Huni on March 8, 2024, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 10/3 (+350) underdog going into the fight.
Before that, he had beaten Senad Gashi on November 25, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Emperors Palace, Kempton Park, South Africa. He was a 1/8 (-770) favorite going into the fight.
He had won against Ryad Merhy on May 13, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Emperors Palace, Kempton Park. He was a 2/5 (-250) favorite going into the fight.
Merhy has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he beat Andrej Pesic on June 14, 2025, by unanimous decision in the 4th round at Louvain La Neuve, Walloon Brabant, Belgium.
Prior to that, he had lost to Jared Anderson on April 13, 2024, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at American Bank Center, Corpus Christi, United States. He was a 13/2 (+650) underdog going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Tony Yoka on December 9, 2023, by split decision in their 10 round contest at Stade Roland Garros, Paris XVI, France. He was a 21/10 (+210) underdog going into the ring.
Before that, he had been beaten by Kevin Lerena on May 13, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Emperors Palace, Kempton Park, South Africa. He was a 15/8 (+190) underdog going into the ring.
He had defeated Zhaoxin Zhang on July 17, 2021, by technical knockout in the 8th round in their WBA World Cruiserweight championship fight at Bruxelles-Capitale, Bruxelles-Capitale, Belgium.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Kevin Lerena has been fighting more than Ryad Merhy.
Kevin Lerena last fought 10 months and 11 days ago, while Ryad Merhy's last outing was 11 months and 16 days ago.
Lerena's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years and 17 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 7 months and 10 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 47 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 9.4 rounds on average.
Merhy's last 5 fights have come over a period of 4 years, 10 months and 13 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 11 months and 21 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 44 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 8.8 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Lerena vs Merhy Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 9:00 PM UTC at RTL Spiroudome, Charleroi, Belgium, which is 5:00 PM EST or 2:00 PM PST on the West Coast of America, or 10:00 PM BST in the UK.
