Bookmakers made Moses Itauma a strong favorite against Joseph Parker in a potential future clash between the pair, when they last released odds on September 16, 2025.
He is currently 8/25 (-310) to win the clash outright, while you can get 49/20 (+250) on Joseph Parker if you fancy the upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 73% chance of Itauma winning while giving Parker a 27% chance.
Itauma opened as the favorite at 8/25 (-310).
Parker opened at 49/20 (+250).
The fight would be scheduled for 12 rounds in the Heavyweight division, which means both fighters don't have to make any weight limit.
Parker vs Itauma Head To Head
Joseph Parker would step into the ring with a record of 36 wins, 3 losses, and 0 draws, 24 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Moses Itauma would make his way to the ring with an unblemished record of 13 wins and 0 draws, with 11 of those by knockout.
The stats suggest Itauma would have an advantage in power over Parker, with a 85% knockout percentage compared to Parker's 67%.
Joseph Parker is the older man by 13 years, at 33 years old.
Itauma has a height advantage of 2 inches over Parker. This also extends to a 3-inch reach advantage.
Joseph Parker fights out of the orthodox stance, while Moses Itauma is a southpaw.
Parker is currently the more experienced professional fighter, having had 26 more fights, and made his debut in 2012, 4 years and 7 months earlier than Itauma, whose first professional fight was in 2017. He has fought 226 more professional rounds, totaling 252 compared to Itauma's 26.
Joseph Parker goes into the fight ranked number 2 by The Ring at heavyweight.
Moses Itauma is currently ranked number 2 by the WBA, 11 by the WBC, 1 by the WBO, 5 by the IBF, and 10 by The Ring in the Heavyweight division.
Parker vs Itauma betting form
Parker has won 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 3 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he beat Martin Bakole on February 22, 2025, by knockout in the 2nd round in their WBO Interim World Heavyweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 8/15 (-170) favorite going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had beaten Zhilei Zhang on March 8, 2024, by majority decision in their WBO Interim World Heavyweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh. He was a 4/5 (-130) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had won against Deontay Wilder on December 23, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh. He was a 9/2 (+450) underdog going into the contest.
Before that, he had beaten Simon Kean on October 28, 2023, by knockout in the 3rd round at Riyadh. He was a 1/9 (-910) favorite going into the contest.
He had defeated Faiga Opelu on May 24, 2023, by technical knockout in the 1st round at Margaret Court Arena, Melbourne, Australia. He was a 1/12 (-1200) favorite going into the contest.
Moses Itauma remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 5 of his last opponents.
In his last fight, he won against Dillian Whyte on August 16, 2025, by technical knockout in the 1st round at ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 1/10 (-1000) favorite going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had won against Mike Balogun on May 24, 2025, by technical knockout in the 2nd round at The SSE Hydro, Glasgow, United Kingdom. He was a 1/50 (-5000) favorite going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Demsey McKean on December 21, 2024, by technical knockout in the 1st round at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 3/50 (-1700) favorite going into the fight.
Before that, he had beaten Mariusz Wach on July 27, 2024, by technical knockout in the 2nd round at O2 Arena, Greenwich, United Kingdom. He was a 1/100 (-10000) favorite going into the fight.
He had won against Michal Boloz on December 1, 2023, by technical knockout in the 1st round at York Hall, Bethnal Green.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Moses Itauma has been fighting more than Joseph Parker.
Joseph Parker last fought 1 year and 25 days ago, while Moses Itauma's last outing was 7 months and 3 days ago.
Parker's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 9 months and 23 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 6 months and 25 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 30 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 6 rounds on average.
Itauma's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 3 months and 18 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 5 months and 16 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 7 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 1.4 rounds on average.
