Bookmakers made Jin Sasaki a prohibitive favorite against Sora Tanaka when they meet in their bout on Saturday 2nd May 2026 at Tokyo Dome, Tokyo, Japan.
He is currently 17/20 (-120) to win the bout outright, while you can get 17/20 (-120) on Sora Tanaka if you fancy the incredible upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 50% chance of Sasaki winning while giving Tanaka a 50% chance.
Sasaki opened as the favorite at 10/11 (-110) however, that price has now got wider by -47/50 (+110).
Tanaka opened at 10/11 (-110) which has got wider by -47/50 (+110).
The fight is scheduled for 10 rounds in the Welterweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 147 pounds (10.29 stones or 66.82 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
Tanaka vs Sasaki Head To Head
Sora Tanaka steps into the ring with an undefeated record of 5 wins, zero losses, and 0 draws, 5 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Jin Sasaki will make his way to the ring with a record of 20 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, with 18 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Tanaka has a slight advantage in power over Sasaki, with a 100% knockout percentage compared to Sasaki's 90%.
Tanaka is currently 29/20 (+150) to get the knockout, while Sasaki is 29/20 (+150).
Sora Tanaka is the same age as Jin Sasaki, at 24 years old.
Sasaki has a height advantage of 4 inches over Tanaka. This also extends to a 4-inch reach advantage.
Both Sora Tanaka and Jin Sasaki fight out of an orthodox stance.
Tanaka is the less experienced professional fighter, having had 18 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2024, 5 years and 10 months later than Sasaki, whose first professional fight was in 2018. He has fought 77 fewer professional rounds, totaling 17 compared to Sasaki's 94.
Tanaka vs Sasaki betting form
Sasaki has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 3 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he lost to Brian Norman Jr on June 19, 2025, by knockout in the 5th round in their WBO World Welterweight championship fight at Ota-City General Gymnasium, Tokyo, Japan.
Prior to that, he had won against Shoki Sakai on January 24, 2025, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku. He was a 3/50 (-1700) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Qamil Balla on September 3, 2024, by technical knockout in the 7th round at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku. He was a 2/25 (-710) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had defeated Joe Noynay on May 16, 2024, by technical knockout in the 5th round at Korakuen Hall, Tokyo. He was a 1/5 (-500) favorite going into the contest.
He had won against Keita Obara on April 8, 2023, by technical knockout in the 3rd round at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku. He was a 1/7 (-710) favorite going into the contest.
Who's been more active?
Sasaki's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years and 24 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 7 months and 12 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 32 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 6.4 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Tanaka vs Sasaki Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 6:00 AM UTC at Tokyo Dome, Tokyo, Japan, which is 2:00 AM EST or 11:00 PM PST on the West Coast of America, or 7:00 AM BST in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Tanaka vs Sasaki for In-Play Betting?
Tanaka vs Sasaki will be broadcast on DAZN in both the United States and the UK.
