Bookmakers made Tyson Fury a big favorite against Fabio Wardley in a potential future bout between the pair, when they last released odds on May 19, 2026.
He is currently 1/4 (-400) to win the bout outright, while you can get 3/1 (+300) on Fabio Wardley if you fancy the big upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 77% chance of Fury winning while giving Wardley a 23% chance.
Fury opened as the favorite at 1/4 (-400).
Wardley opened at 3/1 (+300).
The fight would be scheduled for 12 rounds in the Heavyweight division, which means both fighters don't have to make any weight limit.
Wardley vs Fury Head To Head
Fabio Wardley would step into the ring with a record of 20 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw, 19 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Tyson Fury would make his way to the ring with a record of 35 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, with 24 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Wardley would have a large advantage in power over Fury, boasting a 95% knockout percentage compared to Fury's 69%.
Fabio Wardley is the younger man by 6 years, at 31 years old.
Fury has a height advantage of 4 inches over Wardley. This also extends to a 7-inch reach advantage.
Both Fabio Wardley and Tyson Fury fight out of an orthodox stance.
Wardley is currently the less experienced professional fighter, having had 16 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2017, 8 years and 4 months later than Fury, whose first professional fight was in 2008. He has fought 172 fewer professional rounds, totaling 94 compared to Fury's 266.
Fabio Wardley goes into the fight ranked number 4 by The Ring at heavyweight.
Tyson Fury is currently ranked number 3 by the WBA, 1 by the WBC, 9 by the IBF, and 3 by The Ring in the Heavyweight division.
Wardley vs Fury betting form
Fabio Wardley has stopped 3 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he lost to Daniel Dubois on May 9, 2026, by technical knockout in the 11th round in their WBO World Heavyweight championship fight at Co-op Live Arena, Manchester, United Kingdom. He was a 9/5 (+180) underdog going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had beaten Joseph Parker on October 25, 2025, by technical knockout in the 11th round in their WBO Interim World Heavyweight championship fight at The O2 Arena, London. He was a 14/5 (+280) underdog going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had won against Justis Huni on June 7, 2025, by knockout in the 10th round at Portman Road, Ipswich.
Before that, he had beaten Frazer Clarke on October 12, 2024, by technical knockout in the 1st round in their BBBOC British Heavyweight and CBC Commonwealth Heavyweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 4/5 (-130) favorite going into the contest.
He had drawn with Frazer Clarke on March 31, 2024, by split draw in their 12 round contest in their BBBOC British Heavyweight championship fight at o2 Arena, London, United Kingdom. He was a 2/5 (-240) favorite going into the contest.
Fury has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he defeated Arslanbek Makhmudov on April 11, 2026, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, United Kingdom. He was a 1/5 (-500) favorite going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had been beaten by Oleksandr Usyk on December 21, 2024, by unanimous decision in their The Ring Heavyweight, WBO World Heavyweight, WBC World Heavyweight and WBA Super World Heavyweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 5/2 (+250) underdog going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had lost to Oleksandr Usyk on May 18, 2024, by split decision in their WBC World Heavyweight, WBO World Heavyweight, WBA Super World Heavyweight and IBF World Heavyweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh. He was a 20/21 (-110) favorite going into the fight.
Before that, he had defeated Francis Ngannou on October 28, 2023, by split decision in their 10 round contest at Riyadh. He was a 1/14 (-1200) favorite going into the fight.
He had won against Derek Chisora on December 3, 2022, by technical knockout in the 10th round in their WBC World Heavyweight championship fight at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, United Kingdom. He was a 1/16 (-1700) favorite going into the fight.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Fabio Wardley has been fighting more than Tyson Fury.
Fabio Wardley last fought 2 months and 9 days ago, while Tyson Fury's last outing was 3 months and 7 days ago.
Wardley's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 3 months and 17 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 5 months and 16 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 45 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 9 rounds on average.
Fury's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 7 months and 15 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 8 months and 21 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 56 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 11.2 rounds on average.
