Bookmakers made Erickson Lubin a strong favorite against Ardreal Holmes when they meet in their bout on Saturday 10th May 2025 at Silver Spurs Arena, Kissimmee, United States.
He is currently 2/5 (-250) to win the bout outright, while you can get 2/1 (+200) on Ardreal Holmes if you fancy the upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 69% chance of Lubin winning while giving Holmes a 31% chance.
Lubin opened as the favorite at 4/11 (-280) however, that price has shortened by 26/-25 (+100).
Holmes opened at 9/4 (+230) which has got wider by -3/4 (+130).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Welterweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 154 pounds (10.78 stones or 70 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is an eliminator for the IBF super welterweight championship of the world.
Lubin vs Holmes Head To Head
Erickson Lubin steps into the ring with a record of 26 wins, 2 losses, and 0 draws, 18 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Ardreal Holmes will make his way to the ring with an unblemished record of 17 wins and 0 draws, with 6 of those by knockout.
The stats suggest Lubin has a massive power advantage over Holmes, boasting a 69% knockout percentage compared to Holmes' 35%.
Erickson Lubin is the younger man by 1 year, at 29 years old.
Holmes has a height advantage of 3 inches over Lubin. Despite this, he has a 2-inch reach advantage.
Both Erickson Lubin and Ardreal Holmes fight out of a southpaw stance.
Lubin is the more experienced professional fighter, having had 11 more fights, and made his debut in 2013, 2 years and 9 months earlier than Holmes, whose first professional fight was in 2016. He has fought 136 more professional rounds, totaling 136 compared to Holmes' 0.
Erickson Lubin goes into the fight ranked number 3 by the IBF at super welterweight.
Ardreal Holmes is currently ranked number 6 by the WBO, and 6 by the IBF in the 154lb division.
Lubin vs Holmes betting form
Lubin has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 2 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he beat Jesus Ramos on September 30, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 7/2 (+420) underdog going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had beaten Luis Arias on June 24, 2023, by knockout in the 5th round at Armory, Minneapolis. He was a 1/10 (-1000) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had been beaten by Sebastian Fundora on April 9, 2022, by knockout in the 9th round in their WBC Interim World Light Middleweight championship fight at Virgin Hotels Las Vegas, Nevada. He was a 31/50 (-160) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had won against Jeison Rosario on June 26, 2021, by technical knockout in the 6th round at State Farm Arena, Atlanta. He was a 3/10 (-330) favorite going into the contest.
He had beaten Terrell Gausha on September 19, 2020, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Mohegan Sun Arena, Connecticut. He was a 13/100 (-770) favorite going into the contest.
Holmes remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 1 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he defeated Edwine Humaine Junior on December 12, 2024, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Dort Federal Event Center, Flint, United States. He was a 1/10 (-1000) favorite going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had defeated Hugo Noriega on September 12, 2024, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Dort Federal Event Center, Flint. He was a 1/12 (-1200) favorite going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had won against Marlon Harrington on February 20, 2024, by technical knockout in the 2nd round at Wayne State Fieldhouse, Detroit. He was a 1/3 (-290) favorite going into the fight.
Before that, he had defeated Wendy Toussaint on June 3, 2023, by technical decision in their 8 round contest at Little Ceasars Arena, Detroit. He was a 1/3 (-300) favorite going into the fight.
He had beaten Ismael Villarreal on February 17, 2023, by split decision in their 10 round contest at Stormont Vail Event Center, Topeka. He was a 21/20 (+100) underdog going into the fight.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Ardreal Holmes has been fighting more than Erickson Lubin.
Erickson Lubin last fought 1 year, 7 months and 10 days ago, while Ardreal Holmes' last outing was 4 months and 28 days ago.
Lubin's last 5 fights have come over a period of 4 years, 7 months and 21 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 11 months and 4 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 44 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 8.8 rounds on average.
Holmes' last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 2 months and 23 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 5 months and 11 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 40 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 8 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Lubin vs Holmes Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 11:00 PM EST / 8:00 PM PST at Silver Spurs Arena, Kissimmee, United States, which is around 4:00 AM BST in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Lubin vs Holmes for In-Play Betting?
The ProBox TV US show is expected to begin at 5:00 PM EST / 2:00 PM PST. The ProBox TV broadcast of the card is expected to start at 10:00 PM (BST).
