Bookmakers made Vergil Ortiz Jr a big favorite against Erickson Lubin when they come head-to-head in their clash on Saturday 8th November 2025 at Dickies Arena, Fort Worth, United States.
He is currently 2/13 (-670) to win the clash outright, while you can get 4/1 (+400) on Erickson Lubin if you fancy the big upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 82% chance of Ortiz Jr winning while giving Lubin a 18% chance.
Ortiz Jr opened as the favorite at 2/13 (-670).
Lubin opened at 4/1 (+400).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Welterweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 154 pounds (10.78 stones or 70 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the WBC super welterweight championship of the world.
Ortiz Jr vs Lubin Head To Head
Vergil Ortiz Jr steps into the ring with an undefeated record of 23 wins, zero losses, and 0 draws, 21 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Erickson Lubin will make his way to the ring with a record of 27 wins, 2 losses and 0 draws, with 19 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Ortiz Jr has a large advantage in power over Lubin, boasting a 91% knockout percentage compared to Lubin's 70%.
Vergil Ortiz Jr is the younger man by 2 years, at 27 years old.
Lubin has a height advantage of 1 inch over Ortiz Jr. This also extends to a 6-inch reach advantage.
Vergil Ortiz Jr fights out of the orthodox stance, while Erickson Lubin is a southpaw.
Ortiz Jr is the less experienced professional fighter, having had 6 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2016, 2 years and 8 months later than Lubin, whose first professional fight was in 2013. He has fought 52 fewer professional rounds, totaling 95 compared to Lubin's 147.
Vergil Ortiz Jr goes into the fight ranked number 1 by The Ring at super welterweight.
Erickson Lubin is currently ranked number 10 by the WBC, 3 by the WBO, and 5 by The Ring in the 154lb division.
Ortiz Jr vs Lubin betting form
Ortiz Jr remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 3 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he beat Israil Madrimov on February 22, 2025, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 4/5 (-120) favorite going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had beaten Serhii Bohachuk on August 10, 2024, by majority decision in their WBC Interim World Super Welterweight championship fight at Mandalay Bay Hotel & Casino, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 2/7 (-340) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had won against Thomas Dulorme on April 27, 2024, by knockout in the 1st round at Save Mart Arena, Fresno. He was a 1/25 (-2500) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had beaten Fredrick Lawson on January 6, 2024, by technical knockout in the 1st round at Virgin Hotels, Las Vegas. He was a 1/30 (-3000) favorite going into the contest.
He had defeated Michael McKinson on August 6, 2022, by technical knockout in the 9th round in their WBA Super World Welterweight eliminator fight at Dickies Arena, Texas. He was a 2/25 (-1200) favorite going into the contest.
Lubin has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 3 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he won against Ardreal Holmes on May 10, 2025, by technical knockout in the 11th round in their IBF World Junior Middleweight eliminator fight at Silver Spurs Arena, Kissimmee, United States. He was a 1/3 (-300) favorite going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had won against Jesus Ramos on September 30, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 7/2 (+420) underdog going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Luis Arias on June 24, 2023, by knockout in the 5th round at Armory, Minneapolis. He was a 1/10 (-1000) favorite going into the fight.
Before that, he had been beaten by Sebastian Fundora on April 9, 2022, by knockout in the 9th round in their WBC Interim World Light Middleweight championship fight at Virgin Hotels Las Vegas, Nevada. He was a 31/50 (-160) favorite going into the fight.
He had beaten Jeison Rosario on June 26, 2021, by technical knockout in the 6th round at State Farm Arena, Atlanta. He was a 3/10 (-330) favorite going into the fight.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Vergil Ortiz Jr has been fighting more than Erickson Lubin.
Vergil Ortiz Jr last fought 8 months and 17 days ago, while Erickson Lubin's last outing was 5 months and 29 days ago.
Ortiz Jr's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 3 months and 2 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 7 months and 26 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 35 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 7 rounds on average.
Lubin's last 5 fights have come over a period of 4 years, 4 months and 13 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 10 months and 15 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 43 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 8.6 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Ortiz Jr vs Lubin Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 11:00 PM EST / 8:00 PM PST at Dickies Arena, Fort Worth, United States, which is around 4:00 AM GMT in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Ortiz Jr vs Lubin for In-Play Betting?
The DAZN show is expected to begin at 9:00 PM EST / 6:00 PM PST. The DAZN Global broadcast of the card is expected to start at 1:00 AM (GTM).
