Bookmakers made Errol Spence Jr a favorite against Tim Tszyu when they face off in their fight on Sunday 26th July 2026 at in Australia.
He is currently 2/3 (-150) to win the fight outright, while you can get 5/4 (+130) on Tim Tszyu if you fancy the small upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 58% chance of Spence Jr winning while giving Tszyu a 42% chance.
Spence Jr opened as the favorite at 4/6 (-150).
Tszyu opened at 5/4 (+130).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Welterweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 154 pounds (10.78 stones or 70 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
Spence vs Tszyu Head To Head
Errol Spence Jr steps into the ring with a record of 28 wins, 1 loss, and 0 draws, 22 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Tim Tszyu will make his way to the ring with a record of 27 wins, 3 losses and 0 draws, with 18 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Spence Jr has an advantage in power over Tszyu, with a 79% knockout percentage compared to Tszyu's 67%.
Errol Spence Jr is the older man by 5 years, at 36 years old.
Spence Jr has a height advantage of 1 inch over Tszyu. Despite this, both fighters have equal reach.
Errol Spence Jr fights out of the southpaw stance, while Tim Tszyu is an orthodox fighter.
Spence Jr is arguably the less experienced fighter, having had 1 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2012, 4 years and 1 month earlier than Tszyu, whose first professional fight was in 2016. He has fought 24 fewer professional rounds, totaling 151 compared to Tszyu's 175.
Tim Tszyu is currently ranked number 5 by the WBC, 3 by the WBO, and 6 by the IBF in the 154lb division.
Spence vs Tszyu betting form
Spence Jr has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance 3 times.
In his last fight, he lost to Terence Crawford on July 29, 2023, by technical knockout in the 9th round in their IBF World Welterweight, WBA Super World Welterweight, WBC World Welterweight and WBO World Welterweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 5/4 (+130) underdog going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had defeated Yordenis Ugas on April 16, 2022, by technical knockout in the 10th round in their WBA Super World Welterweight, WBC World Welterweight and IBF World Welterweight championship fight at AT&T Stadium, Arlington. He was a 17/100 (-590) favorite going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Danny Garcia on December 5, 2020, by unanimous decision in their WBC World Welterweight and IBF World Welterweight championship fight at AT&T Stadium, Arlington. He was a 1/4 (-400) favorite going into the fight.
Before that, he had won against Shawn Porter on September 28, 2019, by split decision in their IBF World Welterweight and WBC World Welterweight championship fight at Staples Center, LA. He was a 1/10 (-1000) favorite going into the fight.
He had beaten Mikey Garcia on March 16, 2019, by unanimous decision in their IBF World Welterweight championship fight at AT&T Stadium, Arlington. He was a 1/4 (-400) favorite going into the fight.
Tszyu has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he defeated Denis Nurja on April 5, 2026, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Wollongong Entertainment Centre, New South Wales, Australia. He was a 1/10 (-1000) favorite going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had defeated Anthony Velazquez on December 17, 2025, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at ICC Exhibition Centre, Sydney. He was a 1/10 (-1000) favorite going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had been beaten by Sebastian Fundora on July 19, 2025, by unanimous decision in the 7th round in their WBC World Super Welterweight championship fight at MGM Grand, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 13/20 (-110) favorite going into the ring.
Before that, he had won against Joseph Spencer on April 6, 2025, by technical knockout in the 4th round at Newcastle Entertainment Centre, Broadmeadow, Newcastle, Australia. He was a 2/15 (-770) favorite going into the ring.
He had lost to Bakhram Murtazaliev on October 19, 2024, by technical knockout in the 3rd round in their IBF World Junior Middleweight championship fight at Caribe Royale Orlando, Orlando, United States. He was a 1/7 (-710) favorite going into the ring.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Tim Tszyu has been fighting more than Errol Spence Jr.
Errol Spence Jr last fought 2 years, 11 months and 27 days ago, while Tim Tszyu's last outing was 3 months and 21 days ago.
Spence Jr's last 5 fights have come over a period of 7 years, 4 months and 10 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 1 year, 5 months and 21 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 55 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 11 rounds on average.
Tszyu's last 5 fights have come over a period of 1 year, 9 months and 7 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 4 months and 9 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 34 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 6.8 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Spence Jr vs Tszyu Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 4:00 AM UTC in Australia, which is 12:00 AM EST or 9:00 PM PST on the West Coast of America, or 5:00 AM BST in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Spence Jr vs Tszyu for In-Play Betting?
Spence vs Tszyu will be broadcast on Amazon Prime PPV both in the UK and US.
