Bookmakers made Naoya Inoue a prohibitive favorite against Murodjon Akhmadaliev when they meet in their bout on Sunday 14th September 2025 at IG Arena, Nagoya, Japan.
He is currently 1/10 (-1000) to win the bout outright, while you can get 21/4 (+530) on Murodjon Akhmadaliev if you fancy the incredible upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 86% chance of Inoue winning while giving Akhmadaliev a 14% chance.
Inoue opened as the favorite at 1/10 (-1000).
Akhmadaliev opened at 6/1 (+600) which has got wider by 1/-4 (+400).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Bantamweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 122 pounds (8.54 stones or 55.45 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the undisputed super bantamweight championship of the world, with the The Ring, WBO, IBF, and WBC belts on the line.
Inoue vs Akhmadaliev Head To Head
Naoya Inoue steps into the ring with an undefeated record of 30 wins, zero losses, and 0 draws, 27 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Murodjon Akhmadaliev will make his way to the ring with a record of 14 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws, with 11 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Inoue has an advantage in power over Akhmadaliev, with a 90% knockout percentage compared to Akhmadaliev's 79%.
Naoya Inoue is the older man by 2 years, at 32 years old.
Naoya Inoue fights out of the orthodox stance, while Murodjon Akhmadaliev is a southpaw.
Inoue is the more experienced professional fighter, having had 15 more fights, and made his debut in 2012, 5 years and 5 months earlier than Akhmadaliev, whose first professional fight was in 2018. He has fought 81 more professional rounds, totaling 181 compared to Akhmadaliev's 100.
Murodjon Akhmadaliev is currently ranked number 2 by The Ring in the 122lb division.
Inoue vs Akhmadaliev betting form
Inoue remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 5 of his recent opponents.
In his last fight, he won against Ramon Cardenas on May 4, 2025, by technical knockout in the 8th round in their WBO World Junior Featherweight, IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBA Super World Super Bantamweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 1/40 (-3300) favorite going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had won against Ye Joon Kim on January 24, 2025, by knockout in the 4th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight, WBO World Junior Featherweight and WBA Super World Super Bantamweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Tokyo, Japan. He was a 1/100 (-10000) favorite going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had beaten TJ Doheny on September 3, 2024, by technical knockout in the 7th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku. He was a 1/100 (-10000) favorite going into the ring.
Before that, he had defeated Luis Nery on May 6, 2024, by knockout in the 6th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Tokyo Dome, Tokyo. He was a 1/18 (-1700) favorite going into the ring.
He had won against Marlon Tapales on December 26, 2023, by knockout in the 10th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Tokyo. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the ring.
Murodjon Akhmadaliev has stopped 4 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he defeated Luis Gerardo Castillo on May 30, 2025, by technical knockout in the 8th round at Domo Alcalde, Guadalajara, Mexico.
Prior to that, he had defeated Ricardo Espinoza on December 14, 2024, by technical knockout in the 3rd round in their WBA Interim World Super Bantamweight championship fight at Salle des Étoiles, Monte Carlo, Monaco. He was a 1/12 (-1200) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Kevin Gonzalez on December 16, 2023, by technical knockout in the 8th round in their WBA World Super Bantamweight championship fight at Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale, United States.
Before that, he had been beaten by Marlon Tapales on April 8, 2023, by split decision in their IBF World Junior Featherweight and WBA Super World Super Bantamweight championship fight at Boeing Center at Tech Port, San Antonio. He was a 17/100 (-590) favorite going into the contest.
He had won against Ronny Rios on June 25, 2022, by technical knockout in the 12th round in their WBA Super World Super Bantamweight and IBF World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Tech Port Arena, Texas. He was a 13/100 (-770) favorite going into the contest.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Naoya Inoue has been fighting more than Murodjon Akhmadaliev.
Naoya Inoue last fought 4 months and 10 days ago, while Murodjon Akhmadaliev's last outing was 3 months and 15 days ago.
Inoue's last 5 fights have come over a period of 1 year, 8 months and 19 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 4 months and 5 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 35 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 7 rounds on average.
Akhmadaliev's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 2 months and 20 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 7 months and 23 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 43 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 8.6 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Inoue vs Akhmadaliev Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 12:00 PM UTC at IG Arena, Nagoya, Japan, which is 8:00 AM EST or 5:00 AM PST on the West Coast of America, or 1:00 PM BST in the UK.
