Bookmakers made Naoya Inoue a massive favorite against Murodjon Akhmadaliev in a potential future bout between the pair, when they last released odds on May 13, 2025.
He is currently 1/10 (-1000) to win the bout outright, while you can get 6/1 (+600) on Murodjon Akhmadaliev if you fancy the massive upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 87% chance of Inoue winning while giving Akhmadaliev a 13% chance.
Inoue opened as the favorite at 1/10 (-1000).
Akhmadaliev opened at 6/1 (+600).
The fight would be scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Bantamweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 122 pounds (8.54 stones or 55.45 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
Inoue vs Akhmadaliev Head To Head
Naoya Inoue would step into the ring with an undefeated record of 30 wins, zero losses, and 0 draws, 27 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Murodjon Akhmadaliev would make his way to the ring with a record of 13 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws, with 10 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Inoue would have an advantage in power over Akhmadaliev, with a 90% knockout percentage compared to Akhmadaliev's 77%.
Naoya Inoue is the older man by 2 years, at 32 years old.
Naoya Inoue fights out of the orthodox stance, while Murodjon Akhmadaliev is a southpaw.
Inoue is currently the more experienced professional fighter, having had 16 more fights, and made his debut in 2012, 5 years and 5 months earlier than Akhmadaliev, whose first professional fight was in 2018. He has fought 89 more professional rounds, totaling 181 compared to Akhmadaliev's 92.
Murodjon Akhmadaliev is currently ranked number 2 by The Ring in the 122lb division.
Inoue vs Akhmadaliev betting form
Inoue remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 5 of his recent opponents.
In his last fight, he won against Ramon Cardenas on May 4, 2025, by technical knockout in the 8th round in their WBO World Junior Featherweight, IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBA Super World Super Bantamweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 1/40 (-3300) favorite going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had won against Ye Joon Kim on January 24, 2025, by knockout in the 4th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight, WBO World Junior Featherweight and WBA Super World Super Bantamweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Tokyo, Japan. He was a 1/100 (-10000) favorite going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had beaten TJ Doheny on September 3, 2024, by technical knockout in the 7th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku. He was a 1/100 (-10000) favorite going into the ring.
Before that, he had defeated Luis Nery on May 6, 2024, by knockout in the 6th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Tokyo Dome, Tokyo. He was a 1/18 (-1700) favorite going into the ring.
He had won against Marlon Tapales on December 26, 2023, by knockout in the 10th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Tokyo. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the ring.
Akhmadaliev has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 3 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he defeated Ricardo Espinoza on December 14, 2024, by technical knockout in the 3rd round in their WBA Interim World Super Bantamweight championship fight at Salle des Étoiles, Monte Carlo, Monaco. He was a 1/12 (-1200) favorite going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had defeated Kevin Gonzalez on December 16, 2023, by technical knockout in the 8th round in their WBA World Super Bantamweight championship fight at Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale, United States.
Going into that contest, he had been beaten by Marlon Tapales on April 8, 2023, by split decision in their IBF World Junior Featherweight and WBA Super World Super Bantamweight championship fight at Boeing Center at Tech Port, San Antonio. He was a 17/100 (-590) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had beaten Ronny Rios on June 25, 2022, by technical knockout in the 12th round in their WBA Super World Super Bantamweight and IBF World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Tech Port Arena, Texas. He was a 13/100 (-770) favorite going into the contest.
He had won against Jose Velasquez on November 19, 2021, by unanimous decision in their WBA Super World Super Bantamweight and IBF World Junior Featherweight championship fight at SNHU Arena, New Hampshire.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Naoya Inoue has been fighting more than Murodjon Akhmadaliev.
Naoya Inoue last fought 1 month and 22 days ago, while Murodjon Akhmadaliev's last outing was 6 months and 12 days ago.
Inoue's last 5 fights have come over a period of 1 year and 6 months, which means he has been fighting approximately every 3 months and 19 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 35 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 7 rounds on average.
Akhmadaliev's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 7 months and 7 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 8 months and 20 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 47 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 9.4 rounds on average.
