Bookmakers made Subriel Matias a favorite against Dalton Smith when they come head-to-head in their clash on Saturday 10th January 2026 at Barclays Center, New York, United States.
He is currently 8/13 (-160) to win the clash outright, while you can get 13/10 (+130) on Dalton Smith if you fancy the small upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 59% chance of Matias winning while giving Smith a 41% chance.
Matias opened as the favorite at 8/13 (-160).
Smith opened at 13/10 (+130).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Lightweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 140 pounds (9.8 stones or 63.64 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the WBC super lightweight championship of the world.
Matias vs Smith Head To Head
Subriel Matias steps into the ring with a record of 23 wins, 2 losses, and 0 draws, 22 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Dalton Smith will make his way to the ring with an unblemished record of 18 wins and 0 draws, with 13 of those by knockout.
The stats suggest Matias has a large advantage in power over Smith, boasting a 96% knockout percentage compared to Smith's 72%.
Subriel Matias is the older man by 5 years, at 33 years old.
Smith has a height advantage of 1 inch over Matias. Despite this, he has a 3-inch reach advantage.
Both Subriel Matias and Dalton Smith fight out of an orthodox stance.
Matias is the more experienced professional fighter, having had 7 more fights, and made his debut in 2015, 3 years and 4 months earlier than Smith, whose first professional fight was in 2019. He has fought 19 more professional rounds, totaling 130 compared to Smith's 111.
Subriel Matias goes into the fight ranked number 2 by The Ring at super lightweight.
Dalton Smith is currently ranked number 1 by the WBC, and 7 by The Ring in the 140lb division.
Matias vs Smith betting form
Matias has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 3 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he beat Alberto Puello on July 12, 2025, by majority decision in their WBC World Super Lightweight championship fight at Louis Armstrong Stadium, Queens, United States. He was a 7/20 (-290) favorite going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had beaten Gabriel Gollaz Valenzuela on March 1, 2025, by technical knockout in the 8th round in their IBF World Junior Welterweight eliminator fight at Coliseo Tomas Dones, Fajardo, Puerto Rico. He was a 2/9 (-450) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had won against Roberto Ramirez on November 9, 2024, by knockout in the 2nd round at Coliseo Ruben Rodriguez, Bayamon. He was a 1/40 (-3300) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had been beaten by Liam Paro on June 15, 2024, by unanimous decision in their IBF World Junior Welterweight championship fight at Coliseo Juan Aubín Cruz Abreu, Manatí. He was a 1/8 (-830) favorite going into the contest.
He had beaten Shohjahon Ergashev on November 25, 2023, by technical knockout in the 5th round in their IBF World Junior Welterweight championship fight at Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 3/10 (-340) favorite going into the contest.
Smith remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 3 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he defeated Mathieu Germain on April 19, 2025, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Park Community Arena, Sheffield, United Kingdom. He was a 1/12 (-1200) favorite going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had defeated Walid Ouizza on January 25, 2025, by technical knockout in the 1st round at Nottingham Arena, Nottingham. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had won against Jose Zepeda on March 23, 2024, by knockout in the 5th round in their BBBOC British Super Lightweight championship fight at Utilita, Sheffield. He was a 1/4 (-400) favorite going into the fight.
Before that, he had defeated Sam Maxwell on July 1, 2023, by technical knockout in the 7th round in their BBBOC British Super Lightweight and CBC Commonwealth Super Lightweight championship fight at Utilita Arena, Sheffield. He was a 1/10 (-1100) favorite going into the fight.
He had beaten Billy Allington on February 18, 2023, by unanimous decision in their BBBOC British Super Lightweight championship fight at Nottingham Arena, Nottingham. He was a 1/40 (-5000) favorite going into the fight.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Subriel Matias has been fighting more than Dalton Smith.
Subriel Matias last fought 5 months and 29 days ago, while Dalton Smith's last outing was 8 months and 22 days ago.
Matias' last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 1 month and 16 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 5 months and 4 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 39 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 7.8 rounds on average.
Smith's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 10 months and 23 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 6 months and 30 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 37 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 7.4 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Matias vs Smith Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 11:00 PM EST / 8:00 PM PST at Barclays Center, New York, United States, which is around 4:00 AM GMT in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Matias vs Smith for In-Play Betting?
Matias vs Smith will be broadcast on PPV.com in both the United States and the UK.
