Bookmakers made Ernesto Mercado a massive favorite against Antonio Moran when they meet in their bout on Saturday 13th December 2025 at Stockton Arena, Stockton, United States.
He is currently 1/12 (-1200) to win the bout outright, while you can get 7/1 (+700) on Antonio Moran if you fancy the massive upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 89% chance of Mercado winning while giving Moran a 11% chance.
Mercado opened as the favorite at 1/12 (-1200).
Moran opened at 7/1 (+700).
The fight is scheduled for 10 rounds in the Super Lightweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 140 pounds (9.8 stones or 63.64 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
Mercado vs Moran Head To Head
Ernesto Mercado steps into the ring with an undefeated record of 17 wins, zero losses, and 0 draws, 16 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Antonio Moran will make his way to the ring with a record of 31 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw, with 21 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Mercado has a large advantage in power over Moran, boasting a 94% knockout percentage compared to Moran's 68%.
Ernesto Mercado is the younger man by 8 years, at 24 years old.
Moran has a height advantage of 2 inches over Mercado.
Both Ernesto Mercado and Antonio Moran fight out of an orthodox stance.
Mercado is the less experienced professional fighter, having had 22 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2021, 9 years and 4 months later than Moran, whose first professional fight was in 2012. He has fought 157 fewer professional rounds, totaling 49 compared to Moran's 206.
Ernesto Mercado goes into the fight ranked number 14 by the WBO, and 11 by the IBF at super lightweight.
Antonio Moran is currently ranked number 13 by the WBO in the 140lb division.
Mercado vs Moran betting form
Mercado remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 5 of his recent opponents.
In his last fight, he won against Jose Pedraza on January 25, 2025, by technical knockout in the 4th round at The Cosmopolitan of Las Vegas, Chelsea Ballroom, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had won against Hector Edgardo Sarmiento on July 27, 2024, by technical knockout in the 3rd round at Little Ceasars Arena, Detroit. He was a 1/25 (-2500) favorite going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Deiner Berrio on April 5, 2024, by technical knockout in the 4th round at Red Owl Boxing Arena, Houston. He was a 1/30 (-3000) favorite going into the ring.
Before that, he had defeated Cristian Bielma on February 24, 2024, by knockout in the 2nd round at Evolution Club, Tijuana, Mexico.
He had won against Carlos Manuel Portillo on August 26, 2023, by knockout in the 1st round at LumColor "Phoenix Center", Ontario, United States.
Moran has beaten 2 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he defeated Mykquan Williams on April 5, 2025, by majority decision in their 10 round contest at 2300 Arena, Philadelphia, United States. He was a 10/3 (+330) underdog going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had been beaten by Andy Cruz on August 3, 2024, by knockout in the 7th round at BMO Stadium, Los Angeles. He was a 17/2 (+850) underdog going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Romero Duno on January 31, 2024, by knockout in the 6th round at Whitesands Events Center, Plant City. He was a 1/3 (-300) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had lost to Jamaine Ortiz on September 15, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at American Bank Center, Corpus Christi. He was a 9/2 (+450) underdog going into the contest.
He had been beaten by Arnold Barboza Jr on August 14, 2021, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Hard Rock Hotel & Casino, Oklahoma.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Ernesto Mercado has been fighting more than Antonio Moran.
Ernesto Mercado last fought 10 months and 18 days ago, while Antonio Moran's last outing was 8 months and 8 days ago.
Mercado's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 3 months and 17 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 5 months and 17 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 14 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.8 rounds on average.
Moran's last 5 fights have come over a period of 4 years, 3 months and 29 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 10 months and 12 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 43 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 8.6 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Mercado vs Moran Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 8:00 PM EST / 5:00 PM PST at Stockton Arena, Stockton, United States, which is around 1:00 AM GMT in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Mercado vs Moran for In-Play Betting?
Mercado vs Moran will be broadcast on DAZN in both the United States and the UK.
