Bookmakers made Ryosuke Nishida a big favorite against Bryan Mercado Vazquez when they come head-to-head in their clash on Sunday 15th February 2026 at Sumiyoshi SportsCenter, Osaka, Japan.
He is currently 1/5 (-500) to win the clash outright, while you can get 10/3 (+330) on Bryan Mercado Vazquez if you fancy the big upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 79% chance of Nishida winning while giving Vazquez a 21% chance.
Nishida opened as the favorite at 1/5 (-500).
Vazquez opened at 10/3 (+330).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Bantamweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 122 pounds (8.54 stones or 55.45 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is an eliminator for the IBF super bantamweight championship of the world.
Nishida vs Vazquez Head To Head
Ryosuke Nishida steps into the ring with a record of 10 wins, 1 loss, and 0 draws, 2 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Bryan Mercado Vazquez will make his way to the ring with a record of 32 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws, with 26 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Vazquez has a massive power advantage over Nishida, boasting a 81% knockout percentage compared to Nishida's 20%.
Ryosuke Nishida is the younger man by 1 year, at 29 years old.
Nishida has a height advantage of 2 inches over Vazquez.
Ryosuke Nishida fights out of the southpaw stance, while Bryan Mercado Vazquez is an orthodox fighter.
Nishida is the less experienced professional fighter, having had 22 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2019, 5 years and 1 month later than Vazquez, whose first professional fight was in 2014. He has fought 26 fewer professional rounds, totaling 98 compared to Vazquez's 124.
Ryosuke Nishida goes into the fight ranked number 8 by the WBC, and 8 by the IBF at super bantamweight.
Bryan Mercado Vazquez is currently ranked number 3 by the WBC, 4 by the IBF, and 10 by The Ring in the 122lb division.
Who's been more active?
Nishida's last 4 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 6 months and 4 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 7 months and 17 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 37 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 9.3 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Nishida vs Vazquez Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 10:00 AM UTC at Sumiyoshi SportsCenter, Osaka, Japan, which is 5:00 AM EST or 2:00 AM PST on the West Coast of America, or 10:00 AM GMT in the UK.
