Bookmakers made Mario Barrios a strong favorite against Manny Pacquiao when they meet in their bout on Saturday 19th July 2025 at MGM Grand, Las Vegas, United States.
He is currently 1/3 (-300) to win the bout outright, while you can get 5/2 (+250) on Manny Pacquiao if you fancy the upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 73% chance of Barrios winning while giving Pacquiao a 27% chance.
Barrios opened as the favorite at 8/25 (-310).
Pacquiao opened at 49/20 (+250).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Welterweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 147 pounds (10.29 stones or 66.82 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the WBC welterweight championship of the world.
Barrios vs Pacquiao Head To Head
Mario Barrios steps into the ring with a record of 29 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw, 18 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Manny Pacquiao will make his way to the ring with a record of 62 wins, 8 losses and 2 draws, with 39 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Pacquiao has a slight advantage in power over Barrios, with a 63% knockout percentage compared to Barrios' 62%.
Barrios is currently 6/5 (+120) to get the knockout, while Pacquiao is 5/1 (+500).
Mario Barrios is the younger man by 16 years, at 30 years old.
Barrios has a height advantage of 5 inches over Pacquiao. This also extends to a 4-inch reach advantage.
Mario Barrios fights out of the orthodox stance, while Manny Pacquiao is a southpaw.
Barrios is the less experienced professional fighter, having had 40 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2013, 18 years and 9 months later than Pacquiao, whose first professional fight was in 1995. He has fought 300 fewer professional rounds, totaling 198 compared to Pacquiao's 498.
If you think Pacquiao will win on points, you can get odds of 7/1 (+700), while Barrios is 7/4 (+180) to win on the scorecards.
Mario Barrios goes into the fight ranked number 3 by The Ring at welterweight.
Barrios vs Pacquiao betting form
Barrios has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he drew Abel Ramos on November 15, 2024, by split draw in their 12 round contest in their WBC World Welterweight championship fight at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, United States. He was a 1/14 (-1400) favorite going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had won against Fabian Andres Maidana on May 4, 2024, by unanimous decision in their WBC Interim World Welterweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 2/25 (-1200) favorite going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Yordenis Ugas on September 30, 2023, by unanimous decision in their WBC Interim World Welterweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 7/4 (+180) underdog going into the ring.
Before that, he had defeated Jovanie Santiago on February 11, 2023, by technical knockout in the 8th round at Alamodome, San Antonio. He was a 1/7 (-710) favorite going into the ring.
He had been beaten by Keith Thurman on February 5, 2022, by unanimous decision in their WBC World Welterweight eliminator fight at Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 157/100 (+160) underdog going into the ring.
Manny Pacquiao has beaten 2 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he drew Rukiya Anpo on July 28, 2024, by unanimous decision in the 3rd round at SAITAMA SUPER ARENA, SAITAMA, Japan.
Prior to that, his contest against DK Yoo on December 11, 2022 ended in a no contest at Korea International Exhibition Center, Goyang, South Korea.
Going into that contest, he had lost to Yordenis Ugas on August 21, 2021, by unanimous decision in their WBA Super World Welterweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.
Before that, he had won against Keith Thurman on July 20, 2019, by split decision in their WBA Super World Welterweight championship fight at MGM Grand, Las Vegas. He was a 13/20 (-150) favorite going into the contest.
He had defeated Adrien Broner on January 19, 2019, by unanimous decision in their WBA World Welterweight championship fight at MGM Grand, Las Vegas. He was a 29/100 (-340) favorite going into the contest.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Mario Barrios has been fighting more than Manny Pacquiao.
Mario Barrios last fought 8 months and 4 days ago, while Manny Pacquiao's last outing was 11 months and 21 days ago.
Barrios' last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 5 months and 14 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 8 months and 9 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 56 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 11.2 rounds on average.
Barrios is currently 6/5 (+120) to finish this fight in the 11th round, or 7/4 (+180) to win on points.
Pacquiao's last 5 fights have come over a period of 6 years and 6 months, meaning he has been fighting on average every 1 year, 3 months and 19 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 45 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 9 rounds on average.
Pacquiao is currently 5/1 (+500) to finish this fight in the 9th round, or +700 (+700) to win on points.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Barrios vs Pacquiao Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 11:00 PM EST / 8:00 PM PST at MGM Grand, Las Vegas, United States, which is around 4:00 AM BST in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Barrios vs Pacquiao for In-Play Betting?
The Amazon Prime PPV show is expected to begin at 8:00 PM EST / 5:00 PM PST. The Amazon Prime PPV broadcast of the card is expected to start at 1:00 AM (BST).
