Bookmakers made Seiya Tsutsumi a strong favorite against Nonito Donaire when they meet in their bout on Wednesday 17th December 2025 at Tokyo, Japan.
He is currently 17/50 (-290) to win the bout outright, while you can get 2/1 (+200) on Nonito Donaire if you fancy the upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 70% chance of Tsutsumi winning while giving Donaire a 30% chance.
Tsutsumi opened as the favorite at 17/50 (-290).
Donaire opened at 11/5 (+220) which has got wider by -4/5 (+130).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Bantamweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 118 pounds (8.26 stones or 53.64 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the WBA bantamweight championship of the world.
Tsutsumi vs Donaire Head To Head
Seiya Tsutsumi steps into the ring with an undefeated record of 12 wins, zero losses, and 3 draws, 8 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Nonito Donaire will make his way to the ring with a record of 43 wins, 8 losses and 0 draws, with 28 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Tsutsumi has a slight advantage in power over Donaire, with a 67% knockout percentage compared to Donaire's 65%.
Seiya Tsutsumi is the younger man by 13 years, at 29 years old.
Donaire has a 3-inch reach advantage.
Both Seiya Tsutsumi and Nonito Donaire fight out of an orthodox stance.
Tsutsumi is the less experienced professional fighter, having had 36 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2018, 17 years and 1 month later than Donaire, whose first professional fight was in 2001. He has fought 218 fewer professional rounds, totaling 102 compared to Donaire's 320.
Seiya Tsutsumi goes into the fight ranked number 1 by The Ring at bantamweight.
Tsutsumi vs Donaire betting form
Tsutsumi remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 1 of his recent opponents.
In his last fight, he drew Daigo Higa on February 24, 2025, by unanimous draw in their 12 round contest at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku, Japan. He was a 7/25 (-340) favorite going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had beaten Takuma Inoue on October 13, 2024, by unanimous decision in their WBA World Bantamweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Tokyo. He was a 5/2 (+250) underdog going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had won against Weerawat Noolae on July 7, 2024, by technical knockout in the 4th round at Kokugikan, Tokyo.
Before that, he had beaten Kazuki Anaguchi on December 26, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Korakuen Hall, Tokyo. He was a 9/25 (-230) favorite going into the contest.
He had defeated Riku Masuda on August 30, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Korakuen Hall, Tokyo.
Donaire has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 2 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he won against Andres Campos on June 14, 2025, by unanimous decision in the 9th round in their WBA Interim World Bantamweight championship fight at Casino Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Prior to that, he had been beaten by Alejandro Santiago on July 29, 2023, by unanimous decision in their WBC World Bantamweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 7/10 (-150) favorite going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had lost to Naoya Inoue on June 7, 2022, by technical knockout in the 2nd round in their WBC World Bantamweight, WBA Super World Bantamweight and IBF World Bantamweight championship fight at Super Arena, Saitama, Japan.
Before that, he had won against Reymart Gaballo on December 11, 2021, by knockout in the 4th round in their WBC World Bantamweight championship fight at Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, United States. He was a 1/5 (-500) favorite going into the fight.
He had defeated Nordine Oubaali on May 29, 2021, by knockout in the 4th round in their WBC World Bantamweight championship fight at Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson. He was a 213/100 (+210) underdog going into the fight.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Seiya Tsutsumi has been fighting more than Nonito Donaire.
Seiya Tsutsumi last fought 9 months and 23 days ago, while Nonito Donaire's last outing was 6 months and 3 days ago.
Tsutsumi's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 3 months and 17 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 5 months and 17 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 48 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 9.6 rounds on average.
Donaire's last 5 fights have come over a period of 4 years, 6 months and 18 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 10 months and 28 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 31 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 6.2 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Tsutsumi vs Donaire Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 12:00 PM UTC at Tokyo, Japan, which is 7:00 AM EST or 4:00 AM PST on the West Coast of America, or 12:00 PM GMT in the UK.
