Bookmakers made Dmitry Bivol a strong favorite against Canelo Alvarez in a potential future bout between the pair, when they last released odds on April 18, 2025.
He is currently 8/25 (-310) to win the bout outright, while you can get 49/20 (+250) on Canelo Alvarez if you fancy the upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 73% chance of Bivol winning while giving Canelo a 27% chance.
Bivol opened as the favorite at 8/25 (-310).
Canelo opened at 49/20 (+250).
The fight would be scheduled for 12 rounds in the Light Heavyweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 175 pounds (12.25 stones or 79.55 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
Bivol vs Canelo II Head To Head
Dmitry Bivol would step into the ring with a record of 24 wins, 1 loss, and 0 draws, 12 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Canelo Alvarez would make his way to the ring with a record of 62 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, with 39 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Canelo would have an advantage in power over Bivol, with a 63% knockout percentage compared to Bivol's 50%.
Dmitry Bivol is the same age as Canelo Alvarez, at 34 years old.
Bivol has a height advantage of 3 inches over Canelo. This also extends to a 2-inch reach advantage.
Both Dmitry Bivol and Canelo Alvarez fight out of an orthodox stance.
Bivol is currently arguably the less experienced fighter, having had 41 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2014, 9 years later than Canelo, whose first professional fight was in 2005. He has fought 214 more professional rounds, totaling 214 compared to Canelo's 0.
Bivol vs Canelo II betting form
Bivol has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance 3 times.
In his last fight, he won against Artur Beterbiev on February 22, 2025, by majority decision in their IBF World Light Heavyweight, WBA Super World Light Heavyweight, WBC World Light heavyweight and WBO World Light heavyweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 2/3 (-150) favorite going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had been beaten by Artur Beterbiev on October 12, 2024, by majority decision in their The Ring Light Heavyweight, WBC World Light heavyweight, IBF World Light Heavyweight and WBO World Light heavyweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh. He was a 22/25 (-110) underdog going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had won against Malik Zinad on June 1, 2024, by technical knockout in the 6th round in their WBA Super World Light Heavyweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the ring.
Before that, he had beaten Lyndon Arthur on December 23, 2023, by unanimous decision in their WBA Super World Light Heavyweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh. He was a 1/25 (-3300) favorite going into the ring.
He had defeated Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirez on November 5, 2022, by unanimous decision in their WBA Super World Light Heavyweight championship fight at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. He was a 17/100 (-590) favorite going into the ring.
Canelo Alvarez has beaten 5 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he won against Edgar Berlanga on September 14, 2024, by unanimous decision in their WBO World Super Middleweight, WBC World Super Middleweight, WBA Super World Super Middleweight and The Ring Super Middleweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 1/16 (-1700) favorite going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had won against Jaime Munguia on May 4, 2024, by unanimous decision in their WBC World Super Middleweight, WBA Super World Super Middleweight, IBF World Super Middleweight and WBO World Super Middleweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 1/6 (-590) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Jermell Charlo on September 30, 2023, by unanimous decision in their IBF World Super Middleweight, WBA Super World Super Middleweight, WBC World Super Middleweight and WBO World Super Middleweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 1/4 (-400) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had beaten John Ryder on May 6, 2023, by unanimous decision in their IBF World Super Middleweight, WBA Super World Super Middleweight, WBC World Super Middleweight and WBO World Super Middleweight championship fight at Estadio Akron, Zapopan, Mexico. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the contest.
He had won against Gennady Golovkin on September 17, 2022, by unanimous decision in their The Ring Super Middleweight, WBC World Super Middleweight, WBA Super World Super Middleweight and IBF World Super Middleweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Dmitry Bivol has been fighting more than Canelo Alvarez.
Dmitry Bivol last fought 7 months and 4 days ago, while Canelo Alvarez's last outing was 1 year and 12 days ago.
Bivol's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 10 months and 21 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 6 months and 30 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 54 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 10.8 rounds on average.
Canelo's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years and 9 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 7 months and 9 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 60 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 12 rounds on average.
