Spring 2025
Potentially

Wembley, London, United Kingdom

12 rounds contest
@ Super Bantamweight
VS
28-0-0
21-0-0

Contest odds

Inoue 1/6 (-590)
Draw -
Rodriguez 19/5 (+380)

Chance of winning

80.4% 19.6%
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The tape

31
Age
24
5' 5" / 164 cm
Height
5' 4" / 163 cm
68.1" / 173 cm
Reach
66.9" / 170 cm
Orthodox (R)
Stance
Southpaw (L)

Full record

TKO 7KO 6KO 10TKO 8KO 11
Form
KO 3KO 7TKO 9UD 12UD 12
28
Wins
21
25
By KO
14
89
KO%
67
0
Losses
0
0
Stopped
0
0
Draws
0
2012
Debut
2017
169
Pro rounds
113

Current rankings @ Super Bantamweight

-
The Ring
-
-
WBA
-
-
WBC
-
-
WBO
-
-
IBF
-

Inoue vs Rodriguez betting preview

Bookmakers made Naoya Inoue a big favorite against Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez in a potential future contest between the pair, when they last released odds on November 23, 2024.

He is currently 1/6 (-590) to win the contest outright, while you can get 19/5 (+380) on Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez if you fancy the big upset.

That means that oddsmakers think there is 81% chance of Inoue winning while giving Rodriguez a 19% chance.

Inoue opened as the favorite at 1/6 (-590).

Rodriguez opened at 19/5 (+380).

The fight would be scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Bantamweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 122 pounds (8.54 stones or 55.45 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.

Inoue vs Rodriguez Head To Head

Naoya Inoue would step into the ring with an undefeated record of 28 wins, zero losses, and 0 draws, 25 of those wins coming by way of knockout.

Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez would make his way to the ring with an unblemished record of 21 wins and 0 draws, with 14 of those by knockout.

The stats suggest Inoue would have a large advantage in power over Rodriguez, boasting a 89% knockout percentage compared to Rodriguez's 67%.

Naoya Inoue is the older man by 7 years, at 31 years old.

Inoue has a height advantage of 1 inch over Rodriguez. This also extends to a 1-inch reach advantage.

Naoya Inoue fights out of the orthodox stance, while Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez is a southpaw.

Inoue is currently the more experienced professional fighter, having had 7 more fights, and made his debut in 2012, 4 years and 5 months earlier than Rodriguez, whose first professional fight was in 2017. He has fought 56 more professional rounds, totaling 169 compared to Rodriguez's 113.

Inoue vs Rodriguez betting form

Inoue remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 5 of his recent opponents.

In his last fight, he defeated TJ Doheny on September 3, 2024, by technical knockout in the 7th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku, Japan. He was a 1/100 (-10000) favorite going into the fight.

Prior to that, he had defeated Luis Nery on May 6, 2024, by knockout in the 6th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Tokyo Dome, Tokyo. He was a 1/18 (-1700) favorite going into the fight.

Going into that contest, he had beaten Marlon Tapales on December 26, 2023, by knockout in the 10th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Tokyo. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the fight.

Before that, he had won against Stephen Fulton on July 25, 2023, by technical knockout in the 8th round in their WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku. He was a 2/9 (-450) favorite going into the fight.

He had beaten Paul Butler on December 13, 2022, by knockout in the 11th round in their The Ring Bantamweight, WBO World Bantamweight, IBF World Bantamweight and WBC World Bantamweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku, Tokyo. He was a 1/40 (-5000) favorite going into the fight.

Rodriguez remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 2 of his last 5 opponents.

In his last fight, he defeated Pedro Guevara on November 9, 2024, by knockout in the 3rd round in their WBC World Super Flyweight championship fight at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, United States. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the ring.

Prior to that, he had defeated Juan Francisco Estrada on June 29, 2024, by knockout in the 7th round in their WBC World Super Flyweight and The Ring Junior Bantamweight championship fight at Footprint Center, Phoenix. He was a 2/9 (-450) favorite going into the ring.

Going into that contest, he had won against Sunny Edwards on December 16, 2023, by technical knockout in the 9th round in their IBF World Flyweight and WBO World Flyweight championship fight at Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale. He was a 4/9 (-230) favorite going into the ring.

Before that, he had defeated Cristian Gonzalez on April 8, 2023, by unanimous decision in their WBO World Flyweight championship fight at Boeing Center at Tech Port, San Antonio. He was a 1/30 (-3000) favorite going into the ring.

He had beaten Israel Gonzalez on September 17, 2022, by unanimous decision in their WBC World Super Flyweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Nevada.

Who's been more active?

If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Naoya Inoue has been fighting more than Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez.

Naoya Inoue last fought 6 months and 17 days ago, while Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez's last outing was 4 months and 11 days ago.

Inoue's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 3 months and 7 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 5 months and 14 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 42 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 8.4 rounds on average.

Rodriguez's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 6 months and 3 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 6 months and 2 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 43 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 8.6 rounds on average.

Inoue vs Rodriguez Odds History

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