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Smith vs Kelly Head To Head
Liam Smith would step into the ring with a record of 33 wins, 5 losses, and 1 draw, 20 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Josh Kelly would make his way to the ring with a record of 16 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, with 8 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Smith would have an advantage in power over Kelly, with a 61% knockout percentage compared to Kelly's 50%.
Liam Smith is the older man by 5 years, at 36 years old.
Kelly has a height advantage of 1 inch over Smith. This also extends to a 3-inch reach advantage.
Both Liam Smith and Josh Kelly fight out of an orthodox stance.
Smith is currently the more experienced professional fighter, having had 21 more fights, and made his debut in 2008, 8 years and 6 months earlier than Kelly, whose first professional fight was in 2017. He has fought 128 more professional rounds, totaling 254 compared to Kelly's 126.
Liam Smith goes into the fight ranked number 10 by the WBC at middleweight.
Josh Kelly is currently ranked number 6 by the IBF in the 160lb division.
Smith vs Kelly betting form
Liam Smith has stopped 3 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he lost to Aaron McKenna on April 26, 2025, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Tottenham, United Kingdom. He was a 29/20 (+150) underdog going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had been beaten by Chris Eubank Jr on September 2, 2023, by technical knockout in the 10th round at AO Arena, Manchester. He was a 2/3 (-150) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Chris Eubank Jr on January 21, 2023, by technical knockout in the 4th round at Manchester Arena, Manchester. He was a 2/1 (+200) underdog going into the contest.
Before that, he had won against Hassan Mwakinyo on September 3, 2022, by technical knockout in the 4th round at Echo Arena, Liverpool. He was a 3/50 (-1700) favorite going into the contest.
He had beaten Jessie Vargas on April 30, 2022, by technical knockout in the 10th round at Madison Square Garden, New York, United States. He was a 3/10 (-330) favorite going into the contest.
Kelly has won 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 1 of them, going the distance 4 times.
In his last fight, he defeated Ishmael Davis on September 21, 2024, by majority decision in their 12 round contest at Wembley Stadium, London, United Kingdom. He was a 4/9 (-230) favorite going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had defeated Placido Ramirez on December 16, 2023, by knockout in the 3rd round at Beacon of Light, Sunderland. He was a 1/16 (-1700) favorite going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had won against Gabriel Alberto Corzo on July 15, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle. He was a 1/12 (-1200) favorite going into the fight.
Before that, he had defeated Troy Williamson on December 2, 2022, by unanimous decision in their BBBOC British Super Welterweight championship fight at Utilita Arena, Newcastle. He was a 1/1 (+100) underdog going into the fight.
He had beaten Lucas Brian Ariel Bastida on July 30, 2022, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Josh Kelly has been fighting more than Liam Smith.
Liam Smith last fought 6 months and 16 days ago, while Josh Kelly's last outing was 1 year, 1 month and 21 days ago.
Smith's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 6 months and 12 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 8 months and 15 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 40 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 8 rounds on average.
Kelly's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 3 months and 12 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 7 months and 28 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 49 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 9.8 rounds on average.
