Bookmakers made Naoya Inoue a massive favorite against Sam Goodman when they meet in their bout on Friday 24th January 2025 at Ariake Arena, Tokyo, Japan.
He is currently 3/50 (-1700) to win the bout outright, while you can get 9/1 (+900) on Sam Goodman if you fancy the massive upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 91% chance of Inoue winning while giving Goodman a 9% chance.
Inoue opened as the favorite at 1/20 (-2000).
Goodman opened at 8/1 (+800) which has shorten by -2/1 (+50).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Bantamweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 122 pounds (8.54 stones or 55.45 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the undisputed super bantamweight championship of the world, with the The Ring, WBO, IBF, and WBC belts on the line.
Inoue vs Goodman Head To Head
Naoya Inoue steps into the ring with an undefeated record of 28 wins, zero losses, and 0 draws, 25 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Sam Goodman will make his way to the ring with an unblemished record of 19 wins and 0 draws, with 8 of those by knockout.
The stats suggest Inoue has a massive power advantage over Goodman, boasting a 89% knockout percentage compared to Goodman's 42%.
Inoue is currently 1/5 (-500) to get the knockout, while Goodman is 12/1 (+1200).
Naoya Inoue is the older man by 5 years, at 31 years old.
Goodman has a height advantage of 2 inches over Inoue. Despite this, he has a 1-inch reach advantage.
Both Naoya Inoue and Sam Goodman fight out of an orthodox stance.
Inoue is the more experienced professional fighter, having had 9 more fights, and made his debut in 2012, 5 years and 6 months earlier than Goodman, whose first professional fight was in 2018. He has fought 32 more professional rounds, totaling 169 compared to Goodman's 137.
If you think Goodman will win on points, you can get odds of 16/1 (+1600), while Inoue is 5/1 (+500) to win on the scorecards.
Sam Goodman is currently ranked number 6 by the WBA, 4 by the WBC, 1 by the WBO, 4 by the IBF, and 3 by The Ring in the 122lb division.
Inoue vs Goodman betting form
Inoue remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 5 of his recent opponents.
In his last fight, he beat TJ Doheny on September 3, 2024, by technical knockout in the 7th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku, Japan. He was a 1/100 (-10000) favorite going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had beaten Luis Nery on May 6, 2024, by knockout in the 6th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Tokyo Dome, Tokyo. He was a 1/18 (-1700) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had won against Marlon Tapales on December 26, 2023, by knockout in the 10th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Tokyo. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had beaten Stephen Fulton on July 25, 2023, by technical knockout in the 8th round in their WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku. He was a 2/9 (-450) favorite going into the contest.
He had defeated Paul Butler on December 13, 2022, by knockout in the 11th round in their The Ring Bantamweight, WBO World Bantamweight, IBF World Bantamweight and WBC World Bantamweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku, Tokyo. He was a 1/40 (-5000) favorite going into the contest.
Goodman remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 1 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he won against Thattana Luangphon on July 10, 2024, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at WIN Entertainment Centre, Wollongong, Australia. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had won against Mark Schleibs on March 13, 2024, by technical knockout in the 4th round at WIN Entertainment Centre, Wollongong. He was a 1/25 (-2500) favorite going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Zhong Liu on December 15, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at The Star, Sydney, Pyrmont. He was a 1/40 (-5000) favorite going into the fight.
Before that, he had beaten Miguel Flores on October 15, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Gold Coast Convention Centre, Broadbeach. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the fight.
He had won against Raeese Aleem on June 18, 2023, by split decision in their IBF World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Gold Coast Convention Centre, Broadbeach. He was a 13/10 (+130) underdog going into the fight.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Sam Goodman has been fighting more than Naoya Inoue.
Naoya Inoue last fought 4 months and 21 days ago, while Sam Goodman's last outing was 6 months and 14 days ago.
Inoue's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 1 month and 11 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 5 months and 3 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 42 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 8.4 rounds on average.
Inoue is currently 1/5 (-500) to finish this fight in the 8th round, or 5/1 (+500) to win on points.
Goodman's last 5 fights have come over a period of 1 year, 7 months and 6 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 3 months and 27 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 52 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 10.4 rounds on average.
Goodman is currently 12/1 (+1200) to finish this fight in the 10th round, or +1600 (+1600) to win on points.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Inoue vs Goodman Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 11:00 AM UTC at Ariake Arena, Tokyo, Japan, which is 6:00 AM EST or 3:00 AM PST on the West Coast of America, or 11:00 AM GMT in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Inoue vs Goodman for In-Play Betting?
Inoue vs Goodman will be broadcast on Sky Sports+ in the UK, while the fight will be broadcast in the United States by ESPN+.
