Bookmakers made Daniel Dubois a slight favorite against Joseph Parker in a potential future fight between the pair, when they last released odds on July 22, 2025.
He is currently 4/5 (-130) to win the fight outright, while you can get 26/25 (+100) on Joseph Parker if you fancy the slight upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 54% chance of Dubois winning while giving Parker a 46% chance.
Dubois opened as the favorite at 4/5 (-130).
Parker opened at 26/25 (+100).
The fight would be scheduled for 12 rounds in the Heavyweight division, which means both fighters don't have to make any weight limit.
The contest would be for the IBF heavyweight championship of the world.
Dubois vs Parker Head To Head
Daniel Dubois would step into the ring with a record of 22 wins, 2 losses, and 0 draws, 21 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Joseph Parker would make his way to the ring with a record of 36 wins, 3 losses and 0 draws, with 24 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Dubois would have a large advantage in power over Parker, boasting a 95% knockout percentage compared to Parker's 67%.
Daniel Dubois is the younger man by 6 years, at 27 years old.
Dubois has a height advantage of 1 inch over Parker. This also extends to a 2-inch reach advantage.
Both Daniel Dubois and Joseph Parker fight out of an orthodox stance.
Dubois is currently the less experienced professional fighter, having had 15 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2017, 4 years and 9 months later than Parker, whose first professional fight was in 2012. He has fought 157 fewer professional rounds, totaling 95 compared to Parker's 252.
Daniel Dubois goes into the fight ranked number 5 by the WBO, and 2 by The Ring at heavyweight.
Joseph Parker is currently ranked number 3 by The Ring in the Heavyweight division.
Dubois vs Parker betting form
Daniel Dubois has stopped 3 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he lost to Oleksandr Usyk on July 19, 2025, by knockout in the 5th round in their IBF World Heavyweight, The Ring Heavyweight, WBC World Heavyweight and WBO World Heavyweight championship fight at Wembley Stadium, Wembley, United Kingdom. He was a 5/2 (+250) underdog going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had defeated Anthony Joshua on September 21, 2024, by knockout in the 5th round in their IBF World Heavyweight championship fight at Wembley Stadium, London. He was a 4/9 (-230) favorite going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Filip Hrgovic on June 1, 2024, by technical knockout in the 8th round in their IBF Interim World Heavyweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 2/1 (+200) underdog going into the fight.
Before that, he had won against Jarrell Miller on December 23, 2023, by technical knockout in the 10th round at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh. He was a 2/5 (-250) favorite going into the fight.
He had been beaten by Oleksandr Usyk on August 26, 2023, by knockout in the 9th round in their WBO World Heavyweight, WBA Super World Heavyweight, IBF World Heavyweight and The Ring Heavyweight championship fight at Stadion Wroclaw, Wroclaw, Poland. He was a 6/1 (+580) underdog going into the fight.
Parker has won 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 3 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he beat Martin Bakole on February 22, 2025, by knockout in the 2nd round in their WBO Interim World Heavyweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 8/15 (-170) favorite going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had beaten Zhilei Zhang on March 8, 2024, by majority decision in their WBO Interim World Heavyweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh. He was a 4/5 (-130) favorite going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Deontay Wilder on December 23, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 12 round contest at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh. He was a 9/2 (+450) underdog going into the ring.
Before that, he had won against Simon Kean on October 28, 2023, by knockout in the 3rd round at Riyadh. He was a 1/9 (-910) favorite going into the ring.
He had defeated Faiga Opelu on May 24, 2023, by technical knockout in the 1st round at Margaret Court Arena, Melbourne, Australia. He was a 1/12 (-1200) favorite going into the ring.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Daniel Dubois has been fighting more than Joseph Parker.
Daniel Dubois last fought 3 months and 17 days ago, while Joseph Parker's last outing was 8 months and 14 days ago.
Dubois' last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 2 months and 10 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 5 months and 9 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 37 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 7.4 rounds on average.
Parker's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 5 months and 12 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 5 months and 28 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 30 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 6 rounds on average.
