Bookmakers made Israil Madrimov a prohibitive favorite against Vergil Ortiz Jr in a potential future contest between the pair, when they last released odds on December 13, 2024.
He is currently 1/1 (+100) to win the contest outright, while you can get 1/1 (+100) on Vergil Ortiz Jr if you fancy the incredible upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 50% chance of Madrimov winning while giving Ortiz Jr a 50% chance.
Madrimov opened as the favorite at 10/11 (-110) however, that price has shortened by -109/100 (+90).
Ortiz Jr opened at 10/11 (-110) which has shorten by -109/100 (+90).
The fight would be scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Welterweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 154 pounds (10.78 stones or 70 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
Ortiz Jr vs Madrimov Head To Head
Vergil Ortiz Jr would step into the ring with an undefeated record of 22 wins, zero losses, and 0 draws, 21 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Israil Madrimov would make his way to the ring with a record of 10 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, with 7 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Ortiz Jr would have a large advantage in power over Madrimov, boasting a 95% knockout percentage compared to Madrimov's 70%.
Vergil Ortiz Jr is the younger man by 3 years, at 26 years old.
Ortiz Jr has a height advantage of 1 inch over Madrimov. This also extends to a 1-inch reach advantage.
Both Vergil Ortiz Jr and Israil Madrimov fight out of an orthodox stance.
Ortiz Jr is currently arguably the more experienced fighter, having had 10 more fights, and made his debut in 2016, 2 years and 3 months earlier than Madrimov, whose first professional fight was in 2018. He has fought 3 fewer professional rounds, totaling 83 compared to Madrimov's 86.
Vergil Ortiz Jr goes into the fight ranked number 5 by The Ring at super welterweight.
Israil Madrimov is currently ranked number 4 by the WBA, 3 by the WBC, 10 by the WBO, and 2 by The Ring in the 154lb division.
Ortiz Jr vs Madrimov betting form
Ortiz Jr remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 4 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he defeated Serhii Bohachuk on August 10, 2024, by majority decision in their WBC Interim World Super Welterweight championship fight at Mandalay Bay Hotel & Casino, Las Vegas, United States. He was a 2/7 (-340) favorite going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had defeated Thomas Dulorme on April 27, 2024, by knockout in the 1st round at Save Mart Arena, Fresno. He was a 1/25 (-2500) favorite going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Fredrick Lawson on January 6, 2024, by technical knockout in the 1st round at Virgin Hotels, Las Vegas. He was a 1/30 (-3000) favorite going into the ring.
Before that, he had won against Michael McKinson on August 6, 2022, by technical knockout in the 9th round in their WBA Super World Welterweight eliminator fight at Dickies Arena, Texas. He was a 2/25 (-1200) favorite going into the ring.
He had beaten Egidijus Kavaliauskas on August 14, 2021, by technical knockout in the 8th round at The Star, Frisco.
Madrimov has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 2 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he lost to Terence Crawford on August 3, 2024, by unanimous decision in their WBA World Super Welterweight and WBO Interim World Junior Middleweight championship fight at BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, United States. He was a 9/2 (+450) underdog going into the contest.
Prior to that, he had defeated Magomed Kurbanov on March 8, 2024, by technical knockout in the 5th round in their WBA World Super Welterweight championship fight at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He was a 1/6 (-420) favorite going into the contest.
Going into that contest, he had won against Raphael Igbokwe on April 8, 2023, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Boeing Center at Tech Port, San Antonio, United States. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the contest.
Before that, he had drawn with Michel Soro on July 9, 2022, by technical draw in their 3 round contest at O2 Arena, London, United Kingdom.
He had defeated Michel Soro on December 17, 2021, by technical knockout in the 9th round in their WBA World Super Welterweight eliminator fight at Tashkent, Uzbekistan. He was a 3/10 (-330) favorite going into the contest.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Israil Madrimov has been fighting more than Vergil Ortiz Jr.
Vergil Ortiz Jr last fought 6 months and 15 days ago, while Israil Madrimov's last outing was 6 months and 22 days ago.
Ortiz Jr's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 6 months and 11 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 8 months and 15 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 31 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 6.2 rounds on average.
Madrimov's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 2 months and 8 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 7 months and 21 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 39 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 7.8 rounds on average.
