Bookmakers made Canelo Alvarez a big favourite against Jermell Charlo when they square off in their contest on Saturday 30th September 2023 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.
He is currently 1/4 (-400) to win the contest outright, while you can get 3/1 (+300) on Jermell Charlo if you fancy the big upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 77% chance of Canelo winning while giving Charlo a 23% chance.
Canelo opened as the favourite at 1/4 (-400).
Charlo opened at 3/1 (+300).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Middleweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 168 pounds (11.76 stones or 76.36 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the undisputed super middleweight championship of the world, with the IBF, WBA, WBC & WBO belts on the line.
Canelo vs Charlo Head To Head
Canelo Alvarez steps into the ring with a record of 59 wins, 2 loses and 2 draws, 39 of those wins coming by the way of knock out.
Jermell Charlo will make his way to the ring with a record of 35 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, with 19 of those wins by knock out.
The stats suggest Canelo has advantage in power over Charlo, with a 66% knock out percentage over Charlo's 54%.
Canelo is currently 13/5 (+260) to get the knockout, while Charlo is 11/1 (+1100).
Canelo Alvarez is the same age as Jermell Charlo, at 33 years old.
Charlo has a height advantage of 2 inches over Canelo. This also extends to a 3-inch reach advantage.
Both Canelo Alvarez & Jermell Charlo fight out of an orthodox stance.
Canelo is the more experienced professional fighter, having had 26 more fights, and made his debut in 2005, 2 years and 1 month earlier than Charlo, whose first professional fight was in 2007. He has fought 216 more professional rounds, 472 to Charlo's 256.
If you think Charlo will win on points, you can get odds of 5/1 (+500), while Canelo is 73/100 (-140) to win on the scorecards.
Canelo vs Charlo betting form
Canelo has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 2 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he defeated John Ryder on 6th May 2023 by unanimous decision in their IBF World Super Middleweight, WBA Super World Super Middleweight, WBC World Super Middleweight and WBO World Super Middleweight championship fight at Estadio Akron, Zapopan, Mexico. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favourite going into the ring.
Previous to that, he had defeated Gennady Golovkin on 17th September 2022 by unanimous decision in their The Ring Super Middleweight, WBC World Super Middleweight, WBA Super World Super Middleweight and IBF World Super Middleweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.
Going into that contest, he had been beaten by Dmitry Bivol on 7th May 2022 by unanimous decision in their WBA Super World Light Heavyweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. He was a 69/50 (+140) favourite going into the ring.
Before that, he had beat Caleb Plant on 6th November 2021 by knockout in the 11th round in their WBC World Super Middleweight, WBA Super World Super Middleweight, IBF World Super Middleweight and WBO World Super Middleweight championship fight at MGM Grand, Grand Garden Arena, Nevada. He was a 3/25 (-830) favourite going into the ring.
He had won against Billy Joe Saunders on 8th May 2021 by technical knockout in the 8th round in their WBC World Super Middleweight, WBA Super World Super Middleweight, WBO World Super Middleweight and The Ring Super Middleweight championship fight at AT&T Stadium, Arlington. He was a 11/50 (-450) favourite going into the ring.
Jermell Charlo has stopped 4 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight, he beat Brian Carlos Castano on 14th May 2022 by knockout in the 10th round in their WBC World Super Welterweight, WBA Super World Super Welterweight, IBF World Junior Middleweight and WBO World Junior Middleweight championship fight at Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, United States. He was a 11/25 (-230) favourite going into the contest.
Previous to that, he had drawn with Brian Carlos Castano on 17th July 2021 by split draw in their 12 round contest in their WBC World Super Welterweight, WBA Super World Super Welterweight, IBF World Junior Middleweight and WBO World Junior Middleweight championship fight at AT&T Center, San Antonio.
Going into that contest, he had beat Jeison Rosario on 26th September 2020 by knockout in the 8th round in their WBC World Super Welterweight, WBA Super World Super Welterweight and IBF World Junior Middleweight championship fight at Mohegan Sun Arena, Connecticut. He was a 11/50 (-450) favourite going into the contest.
Before that, he had defeated Tony Harrison on 21st December 2019 by technical knockout in the 11th round in their WBC World Super Welterweight championship fight at Toyota Arena, California.
He had won against Jorge Cota on 23rd June 2019 by knockout in the 3rd round at Mandalay Bay Resort & Casino, Nevada. He was a 1/50 (-5000) favourite going into the contest.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Canelo Alvarez has been fighting more than Jermell Charlo.
Canelo Alvarez last fought 4 months and 24 days ago, while Jermell Charlo's last outing was 1 year, 4 months and 16 days ago.
Canelo's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 4 months and 22 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 5 months and 24 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 55 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 11 rounds on average.
Canelo is currently 13/5 (+260) to finish this fight in the 11th round, or 73/100 (-140) to win on points.
Charlo's last 5 fights have come over a period of 4 years, 3 months and 7 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 10 months and 8 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 44 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 8.8 rounds on average.
Charlo is currently 11/1 (+1100) to finish this fight in the 8th round, or +500 (+500) to win on points.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Canelo vs Charlo Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 11:00 PM EST / 8:00 PM PST at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States, which is around 4:00 AM BST in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Canelo vs Charlo for In-Play Betting?
Canelo vs Charlo will be broadcast on Showtime PPV in the US.
