Bookmakers made Naoya Inoue a massive favorite against Ramon Cardenas when they face off in their fight on Sunday 4th May 2025 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.
He is currently 1/50 (-5000) to win the fight outright, while you can get 10/1 (+1000) on Ramon Cardenas if you fancy the massive upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 92% chance of Inoue winning while giving Cardenas a 8% chance.
Inoue opened as the favorite at 1/100 (-10000).
Cardenas opened at 16/1 (+1600) which has got wider by 5/1 (+500).
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Super Bantamweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 122 pounds (8.54 stones or 55.45 kg) on the day of the weigh-in.
Inoue vs Cardenas Head To Head
Naoya Inoue steps into the ring with an undefeated record of 29 wins, zero losses, and 0 draws, 26 of those wins coming by way of knockout.
Ramon Cardenas will make his way to the ring with a record of 26 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws, with 14 of those wins by knockout.
The stats suggest Inoue has a massive power advantage over Cardenas, boasting a 90% knockout percentage compared to Cardenas' 54%.
Naoya Inoue is the older man by 2 years, at 31 years old.
Cardenas has a height advantage of 1 inch over Inoue.
Both Naoya Inoue and Ramon Cardenas fight out of an orthodox stance.
Inoue is the more experienced professional fighter, having had 2 more fights, and made his debut in 2012, 2 years and 9 months earlier than Cardenas, whose first professional fight was in 2015. He has fought 38 more professional rounds, totaling 173 compared to Cardenas' 135.
Ramon Cardenas is currently ranked number 2 by the WBA, 10 by the WBO, 7 by the IBF, and 9 by The Ring in the 122lb division.
Inoue vs Cardenas betting form
Inoue remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 5 of his recent opponents.
In his last fight, he defeated Ye Joon Kim on January 24, 2025, by knockout in the 4th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight, WBO World Junior Featherweight and WBA Super World Super Bantamweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Tokyo, Japan. He was a 1/100 (-10000) favorite going into the fight.
Prior to that, he had defeated TJ Doheny on September 3, 2024, by technical knockout in the 7th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku. He was a 1/100 (-10000) favorite going into the fight.
Going into that contest, he had beaten Luis Nery on May 6, 2024, by knockout in the 6th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Tokyo Dome, Tokyo. He was a 1/18 (-1700) favorite going into the fight.
Before that, he had won against Marlon Tapales on December 26, 2023, by knockout in the 10th round in their IBF World Junior Featherweight, WBA Super World Super Bantamweight, WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Tokyo. He was a 1/20 (-2000) favorite going into the fight.
He had beaten Stephen Fulton on July 25, 2023, by technical knockout in the 8th round in their WBC World Super Bantamweight and WBO World Junior Featherweight championship fight at Ariake Arena, Koto-Ku. He was a 2/9 (-450) favorite going into the fight.
Cardenas has won 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 3 of them, going the distance twice.
In his last fight, he defeated Bryan Acosta on February 8, 2025, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Boeing Center at Tech Port, San Antonio, United States. He was a 1/3 (-300) favorite going into the ring.
Prior to that, he had defeated Jesus Ramirez Rubio on April 24, 2024, by technical knockout in the 9th round at ProBox TV Events Center, Plant City. He was a 1/12 (-1200) favorite going into the ring.
Going into that contest, he had won against Israel Rodriguez Picazo on February 16, 2024, by technical knockout in the 6th round at Whitesands Events Center, Plant City. He was a 1/1 (+100) underdog going into the ring.
Before that, he had defeated Rafael Pedroza on September 15, 2023, by technical knockout in the 2nd round at Boeing Center at Tech Port, San Antonio. He was a 9/4 (+230) underdog going into the ring.
He had beaten Michell Banquez on July 9, 2022, by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at Alamodome, San Antonio.
Who's been more active?
If you think ring rust and activity is a big factor in this fight, Naoya Inoue has been fighting more than Ramon Cardenas.
Naoya Inoue last fought 3 months and 10 days ago, while Ramon Cardenas' last outing was 2 months and 26 days ago.
Inoue's last 5 fights have come over a period of 1 year, 9 months and 9 days, which means he has been fighting approximately every 4 months and 9 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 35 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 7 rounds on average.
Cardenas' last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 9 months and 25 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 6 months and 25 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 37 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 7.4 rounds on average.
What’s the Latest Time I Can Bet on Inoue vs Cardenas Pre Fight?
The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 11:00 PM EST / 8:00 PM PST at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States, which is around 4:00 AM BST in the UK.
Where Can I Watch Inoue vs Cardenas for In-Play Betting?
The ESPN+ show is expected to begin at 10:00 PM EST / 7:00 PM PST. The Sky Sports Action broadcast of the card is expected to start at 1:00 AM (BST).
